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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/11/2010 10:15:00 AM
The financial news these days clearly shows that the world economy is on shaky ground. You'd think that because of that, the markets would be as jittery as some of the news anchors are. But they aren't. The DJIA, the world's benchmark stock index, has rallied since early February. And the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s VIX index (the "fear" index) also shows that the markets are not nervous. What does that tell us? Let's look at some historical evidence...
Filed Under:
volatility, vix, China's bubble, U.S. unemployment, interest rates, Sovereign Debt, DJIA
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/1/2010 8:00:00 PM
Elliott Wave International presents Part II of the interview with its Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens. -- Vadim Pokhlebkin: I've seen online ads that say, "Trading forex is easy." Do you think it's easy? -- Jim Martens: Well, I’d go back to the question you asked me in Part I of this interview. Easy? No. Easi-er than equities? Yes. In forex, there are fewer markets, so fewer choices and less news to be concerned with -- so, fewer surprises. We just want to find the one currency that looks the strongest against others and one that looks the weakest. Found them -- now pair them together. Sounds easy, but keep in mind that...
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, dollar, volatility, Federal Reserve, discount rate, Robert Prechter
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/25/2010 4:00:00 PM
Elliott Wave International presents Part I of the interview with its Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens. Vadim Pokhlebkin: Jim, readers often tell us that they want to make money trading the markets. There are lots of options out there. Can you tell me why I'd want to look at forex and not, say, the more "traditional" stock trading? -- Jim Martens: First, currency markets are much larger than equity markets...
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, euro-dollar exchange rate, eur/usd, Usd/chf, u.s. dollar, euro, volatility, selling short
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/8/2010 4:15:00 PM
Last Friday (February 5) was yet another interesting day to compare the stock market action with the explanations from conventional analysts. (This show never gets old, I swear.) Around midday, the Dow was down almost 170 points; everything pointed to another grim day. But then the blue chips reversed and closed higher. Don't look for a good "fundamental" explanation: There was none.
Filed Under:
volatility, vix, DJIA, Unemployment rate, Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt, u.s. dollar
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/26/2010 3:15:00 PM
This is part two of the January 18 interview with Roberto Hernandez, a talented S&P trader. "I agree with Bob Pechter that this bear market is not over. My oscillators are pointing down, so we are at the very least looking at a substantial correction. But the volatility will definitely increase again. And as I said before, if you are not experienced with trading in volatile markets, this is not the time to cut your teeth as a trader."
Filed Under:
oscillators, dick diamond, bob prechter, elliott wave, volatility
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/31/2008 12:30:00 PM
It's the holiday season, and the trading volume in the forex markets is thin. Still, even in these tough conditions, wave analysis can bring you low risk, high-potential opportunities. For proof, watch this free 3-minute clip from a video that Jim Martens, the editor of EWI's Currency Specialty Service, recorded for his subscribers yesterday, December 30.
Filed Under:
eur/usd, volatility, wall street bonus, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/25/2008 4:15:00 PM
You may know know that since last week, it has rallied strongly – about 600 pips, so far – pushing the exchange rate back up to $1.30 and robbing the buck of its latest gains. Despite the rally, the "triangle" interpretation of the current picture in the EURUSD that we've talked about on these pages last week still stands...
Despite the rally, the "triangle" interpretation of the current picture in the EURUSD still stands
Filed Under:
euro-dollar exchange rate, volatility, triangle
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/13/2008 5:30:00 PM
Not that we haven't seen markets like these before. Since at least September, volatility in the stock market has been off the charts (no pun intended.) Still, what we witnessed today (Nov. 13) was staggering even if you didn't have an open position. (God help you if you did.)
Filed Under:
volatility, Bear market, bailout, charts
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/11/2008 3:15:00 PM
Forex markets have been volatile lately, and you've probably heard mainstream forex analysts citing various economic and news reports, trying to explaining why. There is one major problem with the premise that markets are moved by the news, though. If you continue this logic, on days when there are no major economic reports, you would expect markets to go sideways. And yet even on those days, the market moves, too. How come?
Filed Under:
forex trading, volatility, currency exchange rates, U.S. economic calendar, euro-dollar, eurusd
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
5/21/2008 4:15:00 PM
The only time the phrase “Reply hazy, try again later” is an acceptable response to a question is when you shake a Magic Eight Ball. Now consider these recent news headlines from the mainstream financial media: “Fed Signal Unclear,” “Economic Outlook Uncertain,” “Repercussions Unknown,” and “Stock Markets Remain Mixed.”
Filed Under:
Economy, New York Stock Exchange, stock markets, dow jones industrial average, volatility, put/call ratio, dow theory, u.s. stock market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
4/14/2008 5:45:00 PM
Mainstream financial analysis usually does one of two things: Waits around for this or that supply/demand report to provide direction to a seemingly delayed market – OR – cherry picks through the day's events for a “fundamental” reason to explain direction that has already taken place. Either way, it ends up missing out on the action.
Filed Under:
coffee, volatility, u.s. dollar, brazil
Category:
Commodities
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The Mania Chronicles
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 With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist. |
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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