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Jason Farkas
10/21/2009 1:45:00 PM
An increasingly loud chorus of investors expects the imminent demise of the US dollar and US Treasuries. They also expect that an exploding monetary base and the US’s structural problems will lead to massive inflation. This opinion may prove to be correct in the very long run, but evidence continues to mount that deflationary will come first.
Filed Under:
us dollar, Us treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter, forex, emerging markets, derivatives, high-frequency trading, terrorism
Category:
Economy
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by
Jason Farkas
10/12/2009 4:45:00 PM
As the recession has taken hold, short-term U.S. interest rates have been pushed down to .25% or lower. This encourages those who want to borrow to do so in U.S. dollars, which is exactly how the low Japanese interest rates of the past boom cycle encouraged borrowing in yen. But markets can move fast when they head down, and when a carry trade unwinds, few things move faster.
Filed Under:
us dollar, australian dollar, euro, yen, Federal Reserve, Bernanke helicopter, EUR/JPY, eur/usd, AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, interest rates
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
10/7/2009 4:15:00 PM
If you want the latest news on the U.S. Dollar Index, try a search under its new ticker symbol, RIP. -- as in, "rest in peace." Let the record show: In the early morning hours of Tuesday, October 6, the mainstream financial community officially declared "The Demise of the Dollar" (The Independent).
Filed Under:
us dollar, dollar, greenback, currency
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
8/3/2009 4:00:00 PM
On Monday, August 3, the U.S. dollar packed about as much heat as the Abominable Snowman. Ipso facto: the greenback plunged to a new low for 2009 against its European counterpart, the euro. As for what caused the sharp and sudden drop in the dollar's value -- the mainstream experts pointed their collective finger at one piece of data...
Filed Under:
Currencies, us dollar, greenback, euro
Category:
Currencies
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by
Susan C. Walker
2/13/2009 4:00:00 PM
As housing prices continue to decline – at a rate of 12% in the fourth quarter of 2008, according to the National Association of Realtors – the price of gasoline for the Kia and milk for the kids keeps cascading down, too. So, the question becomes, as deflation progresses, what will happen to bonds and the dollar?
Filed Under:
deflation, house prices, McMansions, bonds, us dollar
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/17/2008 4:30:00 PM
Conventional assumptions about market drivers don't work – despite what you hear on the six-o'clock news. In fact, if there is one central point in the Elliott wave-based view of the financial markets (and the society at large), it is precisely this: Events outside the markets have NO trend-forming influence. Don't believe us? Explain this, then...
Filed Under:
us dollar, australian dollar, oil, Commodities, Gold, eurusd, audusd
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
10/28/2008 5:00:00 PM
Over the past few months, Wall Street's favorite watering holes have served up a deadly "stocktail" -- the Un-Surely Temple. Includes: a splash of fear, a dash of uncertainty, and a steady flow of extreme volatility. For those who partake, the hangover only gets worse.
Filed Under:
us dollar, greenback, dollar, us stock market, DJIA, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
10/15/2008 4:00:00 PM
Unless you're about 80 years old, the United States economy is undergoing the worst downturn in living memory. Yet -- from its March 17 record peak, GOLD prices have plummeted more than 20%. Two words: What "Safe Haven"?
Filed Under:
safe haven, Gold, yellow metal, Precious metals, us dollar, dollar
Category:
Precious Metals
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by
Nico Isaac
9/5/2008 2:30:00 PM
According to mainstream financial wisdom, when the plane of the U.S. economy runs out of fuel in mid-air and starts hurtling toward the earth’s surface, investors do have one parachute of safety: Precious Metals. Think again...
Filed Under:
Gold, Precious metals, bullion, us dollar, safe-haven
Category:
Precious Metals
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by
Nico Isaac
8/25/2008 4:45:00 PM
It’s official: The five-year long Commodity boom has gone from white-hot to white-not. To wit: since the start of July 2008, the futures markets have seen more jaw-dropping free falls than the Beijing Olympics diving competition...
Filed Under:
Commodities, oil, Gold, Silver, Corn, CRB, us dollar, bubble
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
8/21/2008 5:15:00 PM
If financial markets are well-oiled machines that react mechanically to outside events, it stands to reason -- If you master the system, there’s no way to go wrong. In actuality, the story is quite different, as the recent action in COCOA makes plain...
Filed Under:
Commodities, cocoa, us dollar, greenback, futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/6/2008 8:45:00 PM
What an incredible rally in the EURUSD we've seen on June 5 and 6. On Tuesday, June 4, after Ben Bernanke said the Fed "is watching the dollar," the buck gained close to 200 pips against the euro. Wednesday's trading was very quiet, and it did seem like tables were indeed turning for the dollar. But then on Thursday…
Filed Under:
ben bernanke, Fed, us dollar, eurusd, forex, currency trading
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
6/2/2008 5:00:00 PM
Since the start of 2008, the U.S. dollar has been about as welcome on Wall Street as Sharon Stone in China after her comment that bad “karma” was behind the devastating Sichuan Province earthquake.In late May, however, the dollar-bashing bandwagon came to a screeching halt. And, one by one, some of the most loyal passengers stepped off to say the long-awaited “Dollar Comeback” has arrived.
Filed Under:
us dollar, greenback, us currency, dollar, combeback
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
5/29/2008 6:00:00 PM
The number one flaw of fundamental analysis is its lack of account for human error. Think about it: If financial markets are well-oiled machines that react mechanically to outside events, it stands to reason -- If you master the system, there’s no way to fail. If that were true, then how do you explain the recent action in COCOA...
Filed Under:
cocoa, futures, Commodities, us dollar, Elliott Wave Principle
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
5/5/2008 5:00:00 PM
Each day, the mainstream financial media engages in a game of Cat and Mouse. Here’s how it goes: Various commodity experts chase after the rapidly fleeing fundamentals in hopes of catching a “live” explanation for the day’s price action. For a real-world example, consider the chase of the usual suspects during COFFEE's winning streak in late February.
Filed Under:
coffee futures, Commodities, softs, oil, us dollar, Dow, Energy
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
5/2/2008 5:00:00 PM
News Flash: Cinco De Mayo is NOT the celebration of Mexico's Independence from Spain. And, in lieu of the non-event event, consider one of the most common misconceptions of mainstream financial wisdom; namely: That a widening deficit decreases the value of the dollar, and vice versa.
Filed Under:
cinco de mayo, us dollar, U.S. trade deficit, dollar, dollar bottom, mexican independence
Category:
Currencies
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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