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If The US Economy Is Out Of The Woods, Then I'm The Queen Of England

by Nico Isaac
11/6/2009 7:15:00 PM
Almost everywhere I look in the mainstream financial media, I see story after story celebrating the end of the worst U.S. recession since the 1930's AND start of an all-out recovery to a brighter, smarter-for-the-pain bull market. "The grimmest days are now behind us," begins a November 5 BBC report. "All that talk of a return to the thirties now seems fanciful."
Filed Under: us economy, GDP, recovery, unemployment, finance, credit crisis
Category: Economy


10.2% Unemployment Today on the Way to 33% Tomorrow

by Susan C. Walker
11/6/2009 3:30:00 PM

As bad as that unemployment level is now, the upcoming bear market and accompanying deflationary depression will make it worse, says Bob Prechter. Here's why.

Filed Under: unemployment, deflation, conquer the crash
Category: Classic Prechter


The Best is Yet to Come…
If You’re Prepared!

by Jeff Reckseit
10/26/2009 4:45:00 PM

Are you weary of sorting through all the “good news – bad news” dialogue? The financial media would have you believe that everything is coming up roses. 

Filed Under: green shoots, housing market, credit crisis, unemployment, foreclosures, bank failures
Category: Classic Prechter


Short this Market. But When?
The Wave Pattern Can Tell You When.

by Jeff Reckseit
7/17/2009 4:00:00 PM
Unemployment is high. Earnings are horrible. Deficits are out of control. House prices are still under pressure. And auto sales are flat. Yet the stock market is up about 40% from its March lows.
 
Let’s say that you’re convinced the market is going to collapse, -- so you sell. And you get stopped out. Let’s say you sell again. And get stopped out. Sell again. Stopped out. So you wait for the market to turn down and you sell into the decline. The market bounces and you get stopped out yet again. Then the market goes back down in earnest – but without you. Does this sound familiar? If so, it doesn’t have to be that way.
Filed Under: stock market, fractal geometry, self-similarity, Gold, Silver, Currencies, unemployment
Category: Stocks


A Crucial Fact Overlooked by Most Investors
Economic news does not create the stock market's trend.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/17/2009 6:30:00 PM
The economy follows the stock market. It's a fact typically overlooked by conventional market forecasters who think the opposite. From an Elliott wave perspective, their thinking is simply backwards. Here's a good example...
Filed Under: deflation, earnings, goldilocks, prechter, foreclosures, unemployment
Category: Stocks


Business Owners: How To Handle a Shrinking Business

by Susan C. Walker
3/20/2009 5:00:00 PM

During depressions, many businesses make a fatal mistake: They lay off employees. Here's a better idea.

Filed Under: unemployment, layoffs, GE, General Electric
Category: Classic Prechter


EUR/USD: Will the Rally Continue?
Fundamental analysis cannot tell you where the USD is going from here.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/6/2009 3:30:00 PM
Following Friday's unemployment report, the U.S. dollar promptly lost to the euro. While this may seem like a "normal" market reaction to a bad economic number, think back to January 9, when the previous sharply negative jobs number was released. Following that report, the USD gained, and strongly. So, the same bad employment number can send the dollar higher and lower? Interesting...
Filed Under: unemployment, Nonfarm Payrolls, forex, dollar, eur/usd
Category: Currencies


Update: On the Road to 33% Unemployment

by Susan C. Walker
2/6/2009 12:00:00 PM

As bad as we may think that unemployment is now, the bear market and deflationary depression we have entered are going to make it worse, says Bob Prechter in his latest Elliott Wave Theorist. How much worse?

Filed Under: unemployment, jobless claims, great depression, unemployment benefits, u-6
Category: Classic Prechter


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.