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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/20/2008 6:00:00 PM
The assumption there is always the same: The government is in control of the financial markets, and as long as it pulls on the right levers, the market will obey. It's only when the government makes a mistake, that's when the "bad news" sends the market lower. But this perfectly logical assumption (and many others like it) shatters the moment you look at a chart and compare the dates of some of the bailouts – the "good news" – with what the market did afterwards...
Filed Under:
u.s. treasury, Paulson, bailout
Category:
Stocks
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/11/2008 3:30:00 PM
Fear and greed. The human predilection for cyclic, emotional progression and the basis of the Elliott Wave Principle. We are up to our necks in the fear side of the cycle, and for plenty of good reasons. The Sword of Damocles was only hanging by a single horsehair. Just how much weight can that horsehair support?
Filed Under:
u.s. treasury, fear, bonds, GDP, Sword of Damocles, credit default swaps, Federal Reserve
Category:
Economy
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/6/2008 3:15:00 PM
The Wachovia board gave Citibank the shaft, and now Citibank is crying tortuous interference. Good luck with that one. With all that has gone on the past several weeks, is there really a judge out there who will force Wachovia to re-enter a buyout that leaves taxpayers vulnerable to potentially billions in losses and leaves bondholders out in the cold? More...
Filed Under:
Citigroup, Wachovia, wells fargo, u.s. treasury, Paulson, deflation, California
Category:
Economy
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by
Nico Isaac
9/8/2008 5:15:00 PM
Forget faith. Forget unheard-of dollar amounts. Forget the Fed’s promise not to let the mortgage giants fail. The truth is: In forty years of economic history, there has been ONE single requirement for a financial bailout to pull off a meaningful recovery: A bull market in stocks. The full story awaits.
Filed Under:
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, bailout, u.s. treasury
Category:
Economy
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by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
7/21/2008 6:00:00 PM
It is late July, and around my house, that means it’s time to send the kids off to summer camp. My youngest boy, 9 years old, is going away for a week for the first time. And while we were packing, it suddenly occurred to me what a perfect metaphor that was for the U.S. Treasury’s plan to bail out the government-sponsored enterprises like Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae...
Filed Under:
Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, u.s. treasury, bailout, U.S. 30-year Treasury Bonds
Category:
Interest Rates
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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