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by
Alexandra Lienhard
3/18/2010 2:15:00 PM
This year's Academy Awards was a jarring mix of glam and glum, starting with the contrast between the ultra-elite posing on the red carpet and the array of down-and-dirty films that walked away with the coveted golden statues.
Filed Under:
social mood, socionomics, oscars, Academy Awards
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Neil Beers
11/17/2009 4:30:00 PM
In the following two clips from The Socionomics Institute's documentary History's Hidden Engine, you'll see clearly that extremes in popular cultural trends coincide with extremes in stock prices, since they peak and trough coincidentally in their reflection of the popular mood.
Filed Under:
social mood, social trends, socionomics, music, movies, Disney, popular culture
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Neil Beers
11/17/2009 1:00:00 PM
In the 1940s, renowned science fiction writer Isaac Asimov began writing a trilogy of novels called the Foundation Series. Asimov’s protagonist discovers and develops “psychohistory,” a mathematical science that statistically predicts the general course of future events for large groups of people.
As it turns out, Asimov’s idea was actually science, minus the fiction. In the 1930s, a decade prior to Asimov's initial Foundation stories, Ralph Nelson Elliott made a discovery that became key to the development of socionomics, a new science of social prediction.
Filed Under:
socionomics, socionomist, wars, social mood, Isaac Asimov, psychohistory
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/14/2009 11:15:00 AM
It's earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about earnings' influence on the broad stock market. Well, take a look at this chart if you also think that earnings are what you should focus on in your investment strategy...
Filed Under:
earnings, DJIA, prechter, elliott wave, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Neil Beers
10/14/2009 9:30:00 AM
An article in the University of North Carolina's Daily Tar Heel, “Swine Flu Humor Infects Universities Nationwide,” reminds one of the epidemic disease study in the May and June Socionomist, especially what it said about today’s historic complacency toward epidemic disease.
Filed Under:
swine flu, disease, social mood, socionomics, socionomist
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Alan Hall
9/4/2009 2:15:00 PM
Imagine that you've gone to a local convenience store to withdrawn money from an ATM. You walk back out, get in your car and begin backing up... when a black Cadillac SUV pulls next to you. A man jumps out and stands in front of your car. He's pointing a gun. He's yelling. You're frightened. You want to escape. What would you do?
Filed Under:
Drug War, Law Enforcement, Police shooting, social mood, fear and anger
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/3/2009 2:15:00 PM
Here's a question we often receive at Elliott Wave International's Message Board: "Robert Prechter correctly predicted deflation. But isn't the government in control? The economy is improving, so why can't they do THIS [fill in the blank] to stop deflation altogether?" In our opinion everyone who says that the Fed is in control overlooks one key point: social mood. Here's Bob Prechter's explanation...
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, Federal Reserve, deflation, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/4/2009 4:30:00 PM
If you've followed the stock markets in recent months, you may have asked yourself the same question a reader sent to EWI's Message Board: "With all the bad news, how can investor sentiment become positive and push the markets up like it has been?" Here is a radical answer...
Filed Under:
employment, fundamentals, social mood, socionomics, consumer price index
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/28/2009 10:30:00 AM
"Does the Elliott Wave Principle apply to individual stocks?" This question is one of the most frequent that EWI readers ask. To answer it, you have to understand how the Wave Principle works and accept its two basic premises: 1) Markets trends reflect the collective emotions of investors, and 2) Markets are patterned, not random. Of course, these assertions go against the mainstream investment assumptions...
Filed Under:
Efficient Market Hypothesis, social mood, ralph nelson elliott
Category:
Stocks
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by
Jeff Reckseit
7/15/2009 12:30:00 PM
It wasn’t that long ago that people bought stuff they didn’t need with money they didn’t have. Easy credit and houses-as-ATM’s fueled consumerism to the boiling point. In hindsight, observers have described this behavior as: “aspirational shopping”, or buying beyond your economic circumstances. What does this have to do with the stock market? Everything.
Filed Under:
Economy, stock market, social mood
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2009 5:30:00 PM
At EWI's Message Board, readers ask us dozens of questions, daily. We try and answer everyone, and the best Q&As we publish for all to see. Below are our three nominees in the "Best Question" category for the month of June. Enjoy!
Filed Under:
consumer confidence, social mood, Robert Prechter, socionomics, message board
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/25/2009 12:30:00 PM
The European Central Bank made a record "liquidity injection" into Europe's money markets this week. Will it help turn things around? Before you say yes, read this insightful comment by Robert Prechter, EWI's founder and president.
Filed Under:
european central bank, liquidity injection, Federal Reserve, social mood, prechter, deflation
Category:
European Markets
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/23/2009 1:45:00 PM
Since its June 12 top, the DJIA has lost close to 6 percent. Blame the economic data, say the mainstream financial analysts. But why would investors who disregarded "bad fundamentals" for more than three months suddenly be worried about them? It's a puzzling situation, but only until you look at it from an Elliott wave perspective.
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, global economy, DJIA, Dow, social mood, socionomics
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/22/2009 11:00:00 PM
What creates trends in all liquid, freely-traded markets? That depends on whom you ask. To a conventional market analyst, the answer is news stories and events -- political, economic, you name it. The Elliott Wave Principle, on the other hand, teaches that trends are shaped by the collective mood of the market participants. This quick example may help you decide who's right.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, euro, social mood, risk-averse, forex, currency trading
Category:
Currencies
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by
Editorial Staff
6/17/2009 3:30:00 PM
The recent sell-off in the 30-year US Treasury bond has created a very steep yield curve that, in normal times, would seemingly help stimulate increased borrowing, lending and economic activity. Buttoday’s times are anything but normal. Let's examine what the yield curve is really telling us now.
Filed Under:
steep yield curve, 30-year US Treasury bond, inverted yield curve, 13-week T-bill, 10-year Treasury note, spread, recession, social mood
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/11/2009 2:30:00 PM
"WHO declares first 21st century flu pandemic," reads a June 11 headline. To us here at Elliott Wave International, what continues to be most interesting is the timing of the swine flu outbreak. As we've reported before, disease epidemics are hardly random. Historically, they occur at specific moments in human history: when social mood is at a low.
Filed Under:
swine flu, h1n1, epidemic, pandemic, social mood
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Susan C. Walker
6/5/2009 4:15:00 PM
Here's why you want to be keyed into social mood rather than the latest news report when it comes to financial markets.
Filed Under:
financial markets, oil prices, earnings reports, social mood
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/4/2009 2:45:00 PM
A new report by Halifax, a UK agency that compiles a closely-watched Halifax House Price Index, shows that "prices unexpectedly jumped in May by the most since 2002, adding to signs the worst of the recession is over." (Bloomberg.com) But was there really NOTHING that could have predicted the May rally? See this chart before you answer…
Filed Under:
Halifax House Price Index, uk real estate, social mood
Category:
Real Estate
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by
Alan Hall
5/19/2009 5:15:00 PM
With more than $4 trillion in losses, 9% of the labor force now unemployed, industrial production down 13% from a year ago and most company profits falling or crossing the zero line into losses, it has become starkly evident that the economists who failed to see the crisis coming really don’t understand what drives the economy.
Filed Under:
waves of social mood, Economy, Shiller, Animal Spirits, herding, social mood, Robert Prechter
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2009 4:00:00 PM
You'll either agree with me or you won't, so here it goes: What reliably makes me lose my cool is when respected professionals passionately embrace an idea, for a while -- only to reject it just as passionately later on. Let’s talk about some of the financial "gospels," for example.
Filed Under:
prechter, Efficient Market Hypothesis, diversification, warren buffett, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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The Mania Chronicles
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 With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist. |
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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