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Commercial Real Estate Crisis: NOW They Tell Us

by Nico Isaac
2/18/2010 12:15:00 PM
On February 10, 2010 the Congressional Oversight Panel published a 189-page report on the condition of the U.S. commercial real estate sector. To summarize the document, "Hurricane Kat-REIT-a" has arrived. To wit: The "levies" that were supposedly in place to keep the flood of mortgage defaults and price declines OUT OF the commercial real estate (CRE) sector have shattered. And the toll of the damage is nothing short of devastating.
Filed Under: commercial real estate, CRE loans, housing, reit
Category: Real Estate


Is The Housing Crisis Finally Over? The REAL State of Real Estate

by Nico Isaac
9/29/2009 2:00:00 PM
On the morning of Tuesday September 29, the S&P/Case-Shiller Composite Home Price Index reported a 1.6% rise in July, the third monthly increase in a row. Seconds later, the mainstream experts openly declared -- Ding Dong, the Housing Crisis Witch Is Dead.
Filed Under: Real Estate, housing, bottom, home prices
Category: Real Estate


Will the U.K. Housing Market Bottom In 2009?

by Nico Isaac
12/15/2008 5:15:00 PM

Ever since the cracks began to appear in London's real estate sector, the mainstream officials have been sliding down a slope of hope. As a whole, they have been the "Boy who cried" Great Britain's housing bottom. Get the full scoop today.

Filed Under: U.K. house prices, london real estate market, housing
Category: European Markets


Ba-dum -- Jaws Sinks Teeth into Housing on Both Sides of Atlantic

by Susan C. Walker
7/11/2008 7:45:00 PM

Remember the movie Jaws? Now we've got a housing shark as big as Jaws, and when it attacks, it takes out economies, too. Where will it strike next?

Filed Under: housing, Jaws, Spielberg, shark attack
Category: Real Estate


Fannie, Freddie Signal Bigger Problems for U.S. Economy
The chaos in housing is just the leading edge of a 'great transformation.'

by Peter Kendall
7/10/2008 2:45:00 PM

The chaos in housing is just the leading edge of a “great transformation,” one that extends beyond real estate to the larger economy and many aspects of our everyday lives. See this story about Fannie Mae's recent troubles.

Filed Under: Fannie Mae, housing, subprime
Category: Real Estate


Do Stocks Reflect The Economy?

by Nico Isaac
4/21/2008 4:15:00 PM
Regarding the question raised by today’s headline, “Do Stocks Reflect The Economy?” -- the one-word answer is NO. The cornerstone of conventional economic wisdom is pure baloney.
Filed Under: Stocks, Economy, Wall Street, crude oi, housing, Citigroup, DJIA, conquer the crash, roaring twenties, new economy
Category: Stocks


Foreclosure Bailout Plan Falls Short ... by a Few Billion Dollars

by Gary Grimes
3/12/2008 4:30:00 PM

A recently presented government plan to fight blight around the country recommends providing $10 billion to state and local governments. Considering the fact that there were 87,000 foreclosures in California and Florida alone in January 2008, let's do the math.

Filed Under: politics, Real Estate, foreclosure, California, Florida, Atlanta, housing
Category: Real Estate


Was the "Verdict In" On A Recession Three Years Ago?
Tomorrow's News Today, in 2005

by Robert Folsom
3/3/2008 6:00:00 PM

That was back when the weekly news magazines ran cover stories with headlines with titles like "Home $weet Home." (Time magazine, June 2005.) Once again, the just-published March 2008 The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast offers subscribers analysis and forecasts that could soon prove to be "tomorrow's news today" -- such as the bond auction on February 21, when 395 out of 641 publicly offered bonds "failed" due to insufficient bidding. That's nearly "10 times the number of failures recorded in the entire 23-year life of auction rate bonds."

Filed Under: Economy, GDP, housing, Wall Street
Category: Economy


Was Henry Ford Stupid About History?
An Important Question

by Robert Folsom
10/5/2007 11:25:00 AM

As the bubble bursts, let's remember that overpriced real estate was the effect, while psychology was the cause. Housing became a bubble when buyers, sellers, and lenders all thought they could ignore history -- if they gave history any thought at all. And anyone who supposes that the public has lost its appetite for shortcuts, can perhaps explain why A&E's "Flip This House" remains on the air, now in its third season. Or why, when I type subprime mortgage loan into Google, I get 1.98 million results -- including 10 "sponsored links" on the page, two of which sit atop the search results proper...

Filed Under: subprime, housing
Category: News


Investigating the Event Cascade
Want crystal clear hindsight? Start with a valid premise.

by Alan Hall
8/1/2007 4:40:00 PM

Aircraft disasters are examined in minute detail. When a cause is found, investigators seek causes of the cause as they work back through the "event cascade" that initiated the crash. We do this same after-the-fact investigation of financial crashes and social events like wars, ostensibly in an effort to learn from our mistakes. Generally speaking, we humans do better at understanding the airplane crashes.

Filed Under: subprime, housing, real-estate, Market Watch, Economy, Freddie Mae
Category: Cultural Trends


Housing Hollowed Out
Never trust a muskrat

by Alan Hall
12/5/2006 11:40:00 AM

The housing market is beginning to resemble a watermelon I once floated in a pond overnight to cool. The next day a small hole was in one end and the red interior was completely gone, hollowed out to the sour green rind, sculpted by little teeth. Some muskrat had a feast.

Filed Under: Real Estate, housing, real-estate, Economy, conquer the crash, credit crunch, personal finance
Category: Real Estate


A Family Portrait of Financial Mania
We're all in the snapshot.

by Alan Hall
11/21/2006 12:45:00 PM

I write from the catbird seat here at EWI, with access to the best technical market analysis in the world. In the space of an hour I can read forecasts of commodities, currencies, stocks, metals, and interest rates, and compare them to socionomic observations of news and events. Nowhere else can you grab such a broad, detailed snapshot of the clockworks of the “engine of history.” Today’s digital snapshot is a family photo of a resurging financial mania.

Filed Under: Real Estate, housing, real-estate, Economy, banking, credit crunch, personal finance, Wall St., socionomics, debt
Category: Cultural Trends


Deflation is a Process, Not an Event
And doesn't move in a straight line...

by Alan Hall
10/17/2006 12:50:00 PM

People tend to associate predictions with events, not processes. Because our culture-at-large encourages brief attention spans, it's confusing to be carried along in a long, unfolding process. If it happens slowly, it is much easier to deny. That is, unless you have lost your job, or house, or both.

Filed Under: housing, real-estate, Economy, credit crunch, personal finance, inflation, debt
Category: Economy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.