by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/2/2008 6:00:00 PM
Technical analysts, in recent years, have elevated “Fibonacci” to the level of a buzzword. Despite this unfortunate fact, in skilled hands, Fibonacci ratios can prove extremely handy when you're calculating a market retracement or price target. The most popular of these ratios are the .618 and 1.618. But here's a new twist on the old Fibonacci technique -- "Reverse Fibonacci"...
Filed Under:
Commodities, fibonacci, reverse Fibonacci, live cattle, feeder cattle, futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
11/26/2008 4:45:00 PM
While most folks out there have turkey on the brain for the upcoming holiday -- Elliott Wave International's chief commodity expert Jeffrey Kennedy is thinking of the other white meat: Pork. Namely, Jeffery has just identified a near-term opportunity in pork belly futures.
Filed Under:
pork bellies, futures, Commodities, soybean meal, Daily Futures Junctures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
11/21/2008 4:45:00 PM
As the lines on your computer screen continually flash red across the entire scope of the commodity markets, some of you are probably thinking: "What in holy heck happened to the 'safe-haven' premium of this sector?" It's a fair question. Unfortunately, the mainstream pundits don't have a good answer.
Filed Under:
Commodities, Crude oil, Copper, futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2008 4:00:00 PM
Novice traders (and investors) usually think that an accurate forecast is all they need to succeed in the markets. You read one, you open a trade, and then you close it. Buy low, sell high, wham-bam – you're rich. That happens only if you're really, really lucky. But let's consider a certain (very probable) trading scenario...
Filed Under:
trading, stock, ETF, futures, option, currency, Bear market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
11/13/2008 4:45:00 PM
Over the last four days, I put myself in the (hypothetical) shoes of an average commodity trader schooled in the thought of mainstream economic wisdom. The market I choose is Orange Juice. Find out how the experiment unfolds today...
Filed Under:
Commodities, futures, orange juice
Category:
Commodities
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/10/2008 7:45:00 PM
Jeffrey, let's talk about coffee. Like prices of most soft commodities, coffee has been trending down this year – but what's interesting, have you noticed that the price of Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) has also been sliding? On the first trading day of this year, one share sold for about $18; in October, it fell to about $9. Do you think there is a connection here? -- Jeffrey Kennedy: Interesting observation. Well, yes and no...
Filed Under:
coffee, Starbucks, futures, Commodities
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
11/6/2008 4:00:00 PM
On November 6, cocoa prices were about as "upbeat" as the McCain-for-President camp -- as the sweet market slid to an 11-month low. Little known fact: Cocoa's downtrend is in direct CONTRAST to what the mainstream experts had called for...
Filed Under:
cocoa, futures, Commodities
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
10/30/2008 5:15:00 PM
The what: On Thursday October 30, sugar kissed its month-long losing streak goodbye: Prices rocketed to their loftiest level in three weeks. The why: Well, according to the mainstream experts, the main "maaster" of sugar's price trend is… crude oil. Find out the full story....
Filed Under:
sugar, futures, Commodities, Crude oil
Category:
Commodities
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/27/2008 6:30:00 PM
Diagonal Triangles typically form in a fifth wave position of an impulse. The Elliott Wave Principle* book says they appear when the market has gone "too far, too fast." The key thing to remember about them is that they are ending patterns. Because they signal the end of the larger trend, they often ignite volatile moves that quickly retrace the entire preceding wave pattern. This is the Diagonal Triangle I see forming in Soybean Meal right now, on a 45-minute chart...
Filed Under:
soybean meal, futures, Commodities
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
10/23/2008 5:00:00 PM
Passengers on board the mainstream "fundamental" train en route to COTTON have been severely derailed. To wit: On October 16, cotton prices wilted to a two-year low, DESPITE a barrage of bullish factors. Get the whole story today.
Filed Under:
futures, cotton, orange juice, feeder cattle, Commodities
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
10/17/2008 3:00:00 PM
Halloween has arrived early! O.K. Not really. But for those who knock on the door of the brand-new October Monthly Futures Junctures (published October 17), the analysis of the commodity markets will be a treat indeed. Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Corn, and Live Cattle -- dig in.
Filed Under:
Commodities, futures, sugar, coffee, cotton, Corn, live cattle
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
10/9/2008 3:30:00 PM
The votes are in. The ballots are tallied. And the official frontrunner has been declared. (And no, we’re not talking about the 2008 Presidential Election) We’re talking about the current race to determine which market -- out of all the major commodity candidates out there -- is the greatest contender for near-term opportunity. And the winner is: Cotton
Filed Under:
Commodities, futures, cotton, recession
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
8/28/2008 7:30:00 PM
According to the mainstream experts, corn, wheat, and soybeans are the Three Huskateers, with prices in each market abiding by the original motto: “All for one and one for all.” One look at our powerful close-up of prices in the three grain markets over the last two decades, AND the truth might surprise you...
Filed Under:
Commodities, futures, Corn, wheat, soybeans, Grains
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
8/21/2008 5:15:00 PM
If financial markets are well-oiled machines that react mechanically to outside events, it stands to reason -- If you master the system, there’s no way to go wrong. In actuality, the story is quite different, as the recent action in COCOA makes plain...
Filed Under:
Commodities, cocoa, us dollar, greenback, futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
8/7/2008 4:30:00 PM
One of the biggest flaws of fundamental analysis is its tendency to present a multitude of outside factors for a given market --- All of which have conflicting implications. Case in point: The bullish, bearish, bullish, bearish news items regarding the Coffee market. Read the full story...
Filed Under:
Commodities, futures, coffee
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/31/2008 5:30:00 PM
It’s another typical day in Grand Commodity Station, where passengers step aboard two very different “trains” of opportunity: The "F" or fundamental line, and the "EW" or Elliott Wave line. Their destination: Soybean Meal. Find out which one makes it to their destination on time...
Filed Under:
Commodities, soybean meal, soymeal, futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/24/2008 4:15:00 PM
July 11, 2008 was the unofficial D-Day for the Crude Oil market. “D” -- as in, DOWN. From that most recent peak, oil prices have plummeted more than $20, to a two-month low. The real shocker: On that date, a perfect fundamental bullish storm SHOULD HAVE sent crude prices to the moon...
Filed Under:
Crude oil, Energy, oil, futures, Commodities, orange juice
Category:
Energy
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by
Nico Isaac
7/23/2008 5:30:00 PM
News Flash: crude oil AND sugar prices are about as synchronized as a dolphin and a duck-billed platypus. And, nothing makes this reality more clear than recent historical data comparing the two markets. Get the full story in today's Futures Focus...
Filed Under:
sugar, futures, Commodities, Crude oil
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/14/2008 4:30:00 PM
At last, the most highly anticipated birth around has finally taken place -- and no, I’m not talking about Brangelina’s twins (born: July 13). Elliott Wave International’s senior commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy has just delivered the brand-new July 2008 Monthly Futures Junctures -- a 12-page, hale and hearty publication that screams “Opportunity” into these and many more markets:
Filed Under:
Commodities, brangelina, futures, coffee, cocoa, sugar, Corn, soybeans, Crude oil
Category:
Commodities
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by
Nico Isaac
7/10/2008 5:30:00 PM
The biggest problem with fundamental analysis is its uncanny ability to point out trends that have long since been in place. Basically, it’s the equivalent of yelling “SURPRISE!” to the birthday man/woman of honor hours after he/she has already shown up to the surprise party. See what we mean with regard to the recent action in Orange Juice...
Filed Under:
orange juice futures, Commodities, futures, o.j., greening disease, feeder cattle
Category:
Commodities
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