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11 Commonplace Market Views: True or Myth?

by Susan C. Walker
2/16/2010 3:30:00 PM

Do you believe that earnings drive stock prices and that it's enough to simply beat the market? Better think again, once you read how Elliott Wave International debunks these market myths.

Filed Under: stock market myths, earnings, cash
Category: Classic Prechter


Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Irony and Paradox"
To anyone new to socionomics, the stock market is saturated with paradox.

by Editorial Staff
2/9/2010 4:45:00 PM

"Have you ever watched a dog interact with its owner? The dog repeatedly looks at the owner, taking cues constantly. The owner is the leader, and the dog is a pack animal alert for every cue of what the owner wants it to do. Participants in the stock market are doing something similar. They constantly watch their fellows, alert for every clue of what they will do next. The difference is that there is no leader. The crowd is the perceived leader, but it comprises nothing but followers. When there is no leader to set the course, the herd cues only off itself, making the mood of the herd the only factor directing its actions."

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, interest rates, t-bills, Treasury bonds, Fed, oil, earnings
Category: Stocks


If Earnings Heat Up, Will The Stock Market Follow? See CHART

by Nico Isaac
1/11/2010 1:15:00 PM
As the Northern Hemisphere braces for one the most hostilely cold winters on record, the financial world is stripping down to its skivvies in celebration of an alleged "sizzling" SEASON of fourth-quarter earnings. Here's the gist: On Monday, January 11, the much-anticipated report card for publicly traded companies was released.
Filed Under: us stocks, S&P 500, earnings, fourth-quarter earnings
Category: Stocks


Earnings Do Not Drive Stock Prices (CHART)
Financial Myths Exposed, Part1

by Nico Isaac
12/17/2009 10:15:00 AM
Today is the official debut of my new column titled "Financial Myths Exposed." One at a time, I will reveal why some of the most prominent mainstream beliefs have little or no basis in reality. To kick things off, I'm starting with one of the most widely held "truisms" of Wall Street: i.e. Earnings Drive Stock Prices.
Filed Under: us stocks, earnings, S&P 500
Category: Stocks


Bears in Hibernation
Fundamental analysis has a poor track record of predicting downturns.

by Jason Farkas
10/29/2009 1:15:00 PM
People continue to desert the bearish camp -- even some who correctly forecasted the 2008 collapse. The less than resolute bears are now taking up residence with a cadre of “professionals” whose track record is poor -- fundamental analysts. Fundamental analysts have a poor track record of predicting downturns (though it’s probably not a surprise to those reading this). Here are two good examples...
Filed Under: earnings, recession, fundamentals
Category: Stocks


Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The DJIA Higher?
The idea of earnings driving the broad stock market is a myth.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/14/2009 11:15:00 AM

It's earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about earnings' influence on the broad stock market. Well, take a look at this chart if you also think that earnings are what you should focus on in your investment strategy...

Filed Under: earnings, DJIA, prechter, elliott wave, social mood
Category: Stocks


A Crucial Fact Overlooked by Most Investors
Economic news does not create the stock market's trend.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/17/2009 6:30:00 PM
The economy follows the stock market. It's a fact typically overlooked by conventional market forecasters who think the opposite. From an Elliott wave perspective, their thinking is simply backwards. Here's a good example...
Filed Under: deflation, earnings, goldilocks, prechter, foreclosures, unemployment
Category: Stocks


Bank Of America and Google: News Doesn't Matter?
Elliott Wave International discusses illogical price moves in the shares of Google and Bank of America.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/4/2008 5:35:21 PM

On Friday (Feb. 1), Google reported that its "fourth-quarter revenue increased 51% and net income rose 17%, and top executives said they saw no effect of an economic slowdown." Good news, no argument there. Yet at the open GOOG promptly lost ground and closed Friday's trading down more than 8%. And then on Monday (Feb. 4), it lost some more. Why? We have some ideas...

Filed Under: bank of america, bac, google, goog, mortgage, earnings, shares, stock
Category: Stocks


Why Choose Technical Analysis Over Fundamental?

by Susan C. Walker
11/16/2007 12:45:00 PM

Is there any point in a market cycle at which Elliotticians and fundamental analysts will agree?

Filed Under: technical analysis, fundamental analysis, earnings
Category: Stocks


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.