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Global Cargo: A Ship Stuck at Sea
To understand how global economy is really doing, look at global shipping rates.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/21/2009 8:45:00 PM
If you keep up with international news, you may have seen this picture on Britain's dailymail.co.uk on September 16. The story said: "The biggest and most secretive gathering of ships in maritime history lies at anchor east of Singapore. Never before photographed, it is bigger than the U.S. and British navies combined but has no crew, no cargo and no destination..."
Filed Under: Baltic Dry Index, dax, ftse, cac, china, India, Australia
Category: Economy


European Stocks: Putting Elliott to Work
A good example of how stocks transition from sideways to impulsive trends.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2009 12:30:00 PM

"My experience is that when people are first exposed to the Elliott Wave Principle, they want to know when 5th waves are about to end. But after some experience, the information that becomes most useful is 'show me when a wave 2 is ending' -- because that’s the point right before strong and trending 3rd waves start."

Filed Under: european stocks, dax, Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50, trading systems
Category: European Markets


Oil & Stocks: When One Rises, The Other One Falls?
Don't believe everything you hear on financial TV.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/11/2009 1:15:00 PM

Crude oil is trading above $70 again. When oil starts to make big moves, hardly a day goes by without someone saying something like “crude up -- stocks down,” or vice versa. Take a look at these charts, though, before you agree with this mainstream opinion.

Filed Under: Crude oil, DJIA, dax
Category: Energy


How NOT to Get Stuck in a "Sucker Rally"
Knowing "wave personalities" can help you avoid investment pitfalls.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/12/2009 4:30:00 PM

The action in stocks around the world over the past two months has raised a skeptical eyebrow for some investors, yet for others it has reignited the hopes of a new bull market. How do you know which group is right? Knowing "wave personalities" can help you answer this question.

Filed Under: DJIA, ftse, dax, Nikkei, sucker rally, wave personality
Category: Stocks


How Can Stocks Rally When the News Is So Bad?
Stocks LEAD changes in economy, politics and even culture.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2009 10:15:00 AM

"Why is the market running up like it is with such bad news, massive debt, increased unemployment, increased defaults on mortgages and credit cards, bad debt at the banks, major corporation going into bankruptcy... Where is the top?" -- That's a quote from an email we've recently received at EWI's Message Board. It's a good question -- and the answer may surprise you. 

 
Filed Under: chrysler, Dow, DJIA, ftse, Nikkei, eurofirst, dax, swine flu
Category: Stocks


Europe: Deflation is a Global Story (Part II)
Bear markets have a way of making the impossible possible – and fast.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/11/2009 4:30:00 PM

This is part two of my interview with Brian Whitmer, the new editor of Elliott Wave International’s monthly European Financial Forecast. Here, Brian talks about Europe's "hidden" markets and gives tips on how to trade overseas if you are a U.S.-based investor. He also explains why he thinks the integrity of the European Union will be tested in this bear market.

Filed Under: Aex, bel20, ftse, dax, cac, atx, cece, deflation, prechter, social mood
Category: European Markets


Europe: Deflation is a Global Story (Part I)
This is Part I of an interview with EWI’s new European editor.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/5/2009 6:00:00 PM
Why did you choose to focus on Europe's markets? -- Brian Whitmer: Well, in my opinion, there’s no better place than Europe to apply the Elliott Wave Principle and to study socionomics*. The continent has it all. You’ve got the large markets in London, Paris, and Frankfurt – those usually display the cleanest Elliott wave patterns, and they are perfect to help paint the big picture. But Europe has the smaller markets, too – which add excitement. Just look at what has happened in Ireland, for instance...
Filed Under: Ireland, Russia, iseq, ftse, dax, cac, prechter, deflation
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: How Much More of the "Downside Fireworks"?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/27/2009 5:30:00 PM

In early 2008, European stocks, especially those in Eastern Europe, were investors' darlings, "shelters from the storm." Well, try finding someone who thinks so now. And, says the European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer in the new, March issue, judging by the "incomplete structure" of Elliott wave patterns in Europe's major bourses, they can go even lower.

Filed Under: european stocks, ftse, dax, cac 40, rts
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: "Hope And Optimism Prevail"
These are not the typical psychological conditions for a stock market bottom.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/30/2009 3:45:00 PM

Conventional economists have no shortage of villains to blame the financial crisis on – but if you ask us at EWI, the culprits are as old as investing itself: fear and greed. Whether you are in a financial bubble or a panic, a herding mentality of fear or greed takes over. This curious behavioral phenomenon is precisely what the Elliott Wave Principle describes and studies: Wave patterns in market charts are nothing but fear and greed unfolding right before your eyes. Take a look...

Filed Under: dax, fear, greed
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Not As Chaotic As It May Seem
In terms of price movement, both bull and bear markets are quite orderly.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/9/2009 4:15:00 PM

I'll bet that if you ask ten people which of these two words – "order" or "chaos" – they associate bull and bear markets with, eight out of ten will say that bull markets bring order, while bear markets are chaotic. Yet in terms of price movements, both bull and bear markets are quite orderly. You want proof? OK.

Filed Under: dax, cac40, aex' smi, ibex 35, mib 30, euro stoxx 50, rts, fibonacci, british housing, Bank of England
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Sideways to… Higher?
Will the October-November period of sideways trading in the FTSE prove to be "base-building"?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/5/2008 4:30:00 PM

Despite the fact that in November the index suffered another significant decline, its overall performance since late September-early October has essentially been flat, with almost zero net progress in either direction. If you think that's interesting, you're not alone. The editor of EWI's monthly European Financial Forecast (EFF), Tom Denham, focuses on this fact on p. 2 of the just-published, December issue -- and presents the following chart... 

Filed Under: ftse, dax, cac40, aex, smi, mib 30, euro stoxx 50, rts, cece
Category: European Markets


"No One Could Have Predicted It" vs. Facts
In order to FORECAST the markets, you need FORWARD-looking tools.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/21/2008 4:45:00 PM
It's common these days to hear people say that, "No one could have predicted the crisis and stock market declines." But here is a chart of Germany's DAX stock index (Europe's equivalent of the DJIA) from January 2007 to the present. Below it are the corresponding "Bottom Line" summary forecasts from Elliott Wave International's monthly European Financial Forecast publication. Take a look...
Filed Under: dax, european stocks, asian-pacific
Category: Stocks


European Stocks: The Dance Of The Fearful
Bear markets can destroy very quickly what took years to build.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/8/2008 6:00:00 PM

Bear markets can destroy very quickly what took years to build. They are fast because they are driven by fear, and fear is stronger than greed, the bull market catalyst. This is what Tom Denham, Elliott Wave International Senior European Equity Analyst, says about this cycle in the opening paragraph of his current, October European Financial Forecast...

Filed Under: dax, bear markets, fibonacci
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Five-Wave Moves Speak Volumes
It's no secret that summer months are rarely favorable for stock investors.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/27/2008 3:45:00 PM

Summer months are rarely favorable for stock investors. ("Sell in May and go away," remember?) What complicates things now, however, is the ongoing liquidity crisis that has plagued the markets for almost a year now. And while some analysts out there keep saying "the worst is over," others are not so optimistic.

Filed Under: dax, ftse, cac40, aex, smi, ibex, mib, euro stoxx 50, rts, cece, european stocks, sell in may and go away, gran scala, European Las Vegas
Category: European Markets


VIDEO: 3 Ways To Set Price Targets
How do you identify price points where a market rally or decline may stop and reverse?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/16/2008 5:15:00 PM

In the one you're about to see, Tom Denham, EWI's Senior European Equity Analyst demonstrates his technique of setting price targets for a potential trade using three factors: Common length proportions between market rallies, the theory of "round numbers," and Fibonacci projections.

Filed Under: dax, ftse, cac40, smi, aex, ibex 35, S&P/MIB, euro stoxx 50, Forecast, fibonacci, THEORY OF round numbers, European EquitY
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Finally Catching a Break?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/25/2008 5:00:00 PM

As expected, European stock indexes rallied in April. However, May begins the “worst six months of the year” according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. "Sell in May and go away, come back on St. Leger's Day," remember? They don’t say that for nothing...

Filed Under: sell in may, ftse, dax, Schatz Yield, ftse 250, cac40, aex, smi, ibex 35, euro stoxx 50, rts, cece
Category: European Markets


Germany: Speed Limit Is Now Reality
Is there a correlation between the trend in stocks and highway speed limits?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/11/2008 6:00:00 PM

Well, it finally happened. The world famous, bullet-fast, no-speed-limit German autobahns may soon become just like every other highway – boring. Is there a correlation between the trend in stocks and highway speed limits? Let's take a closer look.

Filed Under: autobahn, speed limit, Germany, dax, socionomics, greenhouse gases
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Fear and Greed
Elliott Wave International discusses how the current stocks sell-off is driven more by fear than rational thinking.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/9/2008 10:00:00 PM

You watch financial news, you know what's going on. Spooked by "concerns over a potential U.S. recession," investors are dumping shares on both sides of the pond. But if you ask us, what's going on here is as old as investing itself: fear and greed. Fear and greed move investors. Fear and greed move market prices, too.

Filed Under: recession, dax, fear, greed, european stocks, India Nifty, SENSEX, S&P CNX NIfty, China Shanghai Composite, iShares FTSE/Xinhua China Trust, iShares MSCI Emerging Index
Category: European Markets


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With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist.
 
 

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IN THE MEDIA
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts

As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.