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by
Nico Isaac
5/26/2009 2:45:00 PM
According to conventional economic wisdom, the Federal Reserve is to the U.S. bond market what a hypnotist is to his patient. A typical trance would induce the following behavior: "When you hear the words 'rate cut' or 'cash infusion,' you will proceed to act like a BULL and rally." In reality, however, the bond market completely ignores the "soothing" voice of the Central Bank. Then it does whatever the hooey it wants.
Filed Under:
bond market, bond yields, U.S. bonds, Federal Reserve, Fed
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Nico Isaac
5/1/2009 6:15:00 PM
For all you obscure holiday buffs out there, today is the first Friday of May: International "No Pants Day." (Seriously, look it up) The annual event seems especially relevant seeing as the U.S. Federal Reserve has just been caught with its metaphorical trousers down...
Filed Under:
bond market, Federal Reserve, Fed, bond yields
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Nico Isaac
12/8/2008 6:00:00 PM
As the year 2007 rolled into 2008, the mainstream financial experts were certain of one thing (if you don't count death and taxes): Inflation would take the U.S. economy by storm and trigger an across-the-board flight out of the rate-sensitive bond market. The very opposite -- DEFLATION -- has occurred.
Filed Under:
deflation, inflation, us treasury bonds, bond market, treasury yields
Category:
Interest Rates
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by
Nico Isaac
8/5/2008 3:45:00 PM
Anxiety is to a rising market what a flaming torch is to a hot-air balloon. And, as one of the most reliable measures of collective investor emotion, the record widening of the Junk-to-Treasury Yield Spread over the last year shows exactly why the finanical sector has gone "Pop!"
Filed Under:
bond market, Yield spread, Junk-to-Treasury yield spread, 10-year Treasury bond, Federal Housing Administration
Category:
Economy
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by
Editorial Staff
5/2/2008 4:15:00 PM
The big question that still remains about the demise of Bear Stearns is, how did its mortgage-backed securities lose their value so quickly? It's a question that Bob Prechter has pondered in a more general way for his best-selling business book, Conquer the Crash. In this excerpt, Bob carefully explains exactly how financial values can disappear.
Filed Under:
Bear Stearns, subprime, asset prices, stock markets, bond market, Bear market, deflation Federal Reserve, JP Morgan, conquer the crash
Category:
Classic Prechter
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The Mania Chronicles
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 With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist. |
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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