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June 24 FOMC Meeting: Can the Fed Defeat the Bear?

by Nico Isaac
6/24/2009 3:45:00 PM

t's Federal Open Market Committee time again. And, even before the June 24 meeting adjourned, word-parsers were dissecting the "minutes" like a high school biology student with a frog. In short: While everyone with a pulse guesses at the meaning of Bernanke-speak, ALL of them hope his words give the stock market something to celebrate.

Filed Under: FOMC, Fed, rate cuts, interest rates, stock market, bailout, central bank, Federal Reserve
Category: Interest Rates


Prechter on T-Bonds, THEN and NOW
Yes, Interest Rates DO Drive the Fed

by Robert Folsom
6/16/2009 4:45:00 PM

That was in 2002. Jump ahead to 2008 and early 2009 -- we've seen the gargantuan size of the U.S. government's bailout schemes, and watched the Federal Reserve's unprecedented steps to keep interest rates low. Clearly the time had come for Prechter to focus again on government debt...

Filed Under: Treasury bonds, interest rates, prechter, bailout
Category: Interest Rates


Reconciling Logic With the AIG Bailout Program
Why arguments over AIG miss the real culprits.

by Gary Grimes
3/17/2009 1:30:00 PM
Everyone knows the old cliché that says, "you can't have your cake and eat it, too." Well, in the current economic crisis, no "cake" is bigger than AIG.
Filed Under: deflation, AIG, bailout
Category: Economy


Geithner and Stocks: Can the Entire Media Be THAT Wrong?
You be the judge

by Robert Folsom
2/10/2009 5:15:00 PM
Why you can't often trust conventional sources -- especially when they all agree...
Filed Under: bailout
Category: Stocks


Let's Look At the Treasury Department's Investing Skills
"Is the public receiving a fair deal?"

by Robert Folsom
2/6/2009 5:15:00 PM

Given that Henry Paulson had been the CEO of Goldman Sachs, one would suppose that he knows something about how to price financial assets. Even so, the Oversight Panel decided to check Paulson's math anyway: they hired a top international evaluations "to perform the evaluation"...

Filed Under: bailout, deflation, tarp
Category: Economy


Does $700 Billion Deserve This Much Attention?
Could the printing presses go any faster?

by Robert Folsom
12/12/2008 4:15:00 PM
As the economic crisis has unfolded, a lot of different financial issues have played their own special part, and most have had their "day in the headlines." But when it comes to sheer volume of media ink and airtime, the $700 billion bailout probably tops the list. Does it deserve all attention it's getting?
Filed Under: bailout
Category: Economy


Whack-a-Mole Can't Prevent-a-Crash

by Susan C. Walker
12/12/2008 2:15:00 PM

Each problem brings out Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke or U.S. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson to whack the mole back underground with some billions of taxpayer money and another program meant to save an industry. The problem is that once deflation gets a-hold of an economy, it's no longer a mole problem.

Filed Under: crash, whack-a-mole, deflation, bailout
Category: Classic Prechter


Why The Fed Can't Print Our Way Out Of Deflation

by Nico Isaac
12/10/2008 5:00:00 PM

"Big Ben Fires Up The Choppers," reveals a recent Forbes article. "Choppers" being the "helicopter" from which the Federal Reserve will drop bundles of printed money into the hands of the public, thus staving off deflation. Will it work? Find out today...

Filed Under: Federal Reserve, helicopter drop, print money, Fed, deflation, bailout
Category: Economy


Today's Government: Eclipsing FDR and the 1930s?
The jobless report

by Robert Folsom
12/5/2008 5:30:00 PM
Yes, the Wall Street Journal quoted a big-name economist saying, "The threat of a widespread depression is real..."
Filed Under: bailout
Category: Economy


Can The Fed Stave Off Another "Great Depression"?

by Nico Isaac
12/3/2008 4:00:00 PM

The Federal Reserve has fired more rounds on its bailout bazooka than Rambo in hopes of keeping the leading pillars of the U.S. economy afloat. This extension of virtually unlimited credit, says Bernanke, will stave off another Great Depression. Is He Right?

Filed Under: ben bernanke, great depression, bailout, bailouts, Federal Reserve, dow jones industrial average, Bear market
Category: Economy


Deflation, Fiat Money, and Market Destruction
Yes, the Fed Chairman DID Say This in Public

by Robert Folsom
12/2/2008 5:45:00 PM
The only thing more remarkable than this public comment is the fact that it drew virtually no attention -- but if nothing else, it does show what Bernanke has on his mind....
Filed Under: bailout, fiat money, deflation, inflation, printing press
Category: Economy


Update: Today is Not Like 1929! No, It's Worse

by Susan C. Walker
12/2/2008 12:45:00 PM

Ben Bernanke says that today's current economic and financial woes don't compare with the Great Depression in the late 1920s and 1930s. Too bad he can't see what Bob Prechter sees – that today's problems are actually worse.

Filed Under: Bernanke, great depression, recession, stock crash, bailout
Category: Classic Prechter


What Were You Reading at Dow 14,000?

by Editorial Staff
11/21/2008 5:30:00 PM
Today, six years after its launch, Robert Prechter's New York Times and Amazon best-selling book, Conquer the Crash, reads like a script. Bob says, "We're about a third of the way through CTC. There are two-thirds left. There is still time for people to get ready, but not much." Here are some highlights of the story Bob foretold in Conquer the Crash.
Filed Under: bailout, deflation
Category: Classic Prechter


Down 309 Points, Up 552 Points…Fast Enough For Ya?
Let's not even get into "reasons" why the Dow went bipolar on November 13.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/13/2008 5:30:00 PM

Not that we haven't seen markets like these before. Since at least September, volatility in the stock market has been off the charts (no pun intended.) Still, what we witnessed today (Nov. 13) was staggering even if you didn't have an open position. (God help you if you did.)

Filed Under: volatility, Bear market, bailout, charts
Category: Stocks


Yes, OF COURSE This Is the Way to Run A Bailout
You underestimate the government's control of the financial system at your own peril

by Robert Folsom
11/10/2008 5:00:00 PM

Like an absolute monarch, government alone elects to disclose what it does -- it can also refuse to disclose anything, with impunity. This kind of power the Robber Barons of the 19th century imagined only in their wildest dreams...

Filed Under: bailout
Category: Economy


The $700 Billion Dollar Question
Is the U.S. in a better position to weather the global downturn?

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/8/2008 11:45:00 AM

Global deflation means global recession. Still, come to think of it, as bad as it may get in the U.S., our financial, service and industrial diversifications would probably make the U.S. dollar and equities a good bet, on a relative strength basis.

Filed Under: Paulson, bailout, Iceland, deflation, u.s. dollar, Maastricht Treaty, euro zone
Category: Economy


Do Bailouts Work? Wait Till You See This Chart
Why isn't the stock market responding to the govenment bailouts? Here's the answer.

by Nico Isaac
10/6/2008 4:45:00 PM

In the last month, the finanical powers-that-be have pulled the trigger on a "bailout bazooka" AND dropped the ultimate bailout A-bomb. YET -- the big, bad grizzly goes unscathed, taking the financial world by storm like some indestructible Bearzilla, squashing every major monument to wealth in its wake. The latest casualty: the Dow Jones Industrial Average...

Filed Under: dow jones industrial average, bailout, stock market
Category: Economy


A Trend That's Bigger Than Every News Story You Can Name
Connecting the Dots Couldn't Be More Obvious -- NOT

by Robert Folsom
10/3/2008 5:45:00 PM

It doesn't wash. News can't reverse the dominant trend, and every news story you can name has been smaller than this trend for the past 18 months....

Filed Under: bailout
Category: Stocks


Want to Know How Big the Liquidity Problem Really Is? Here's A Comparison
Why The Crisis Has Reached Such An Acute Phase

by Robert Folsom
10/1/2008 5:45:00 PM

During the past two weeks the liquidity crisis has grown worse literally by the day. And the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on Sept. 15 did indeed trigger this acute phase of the debacle. Perhaps this simple comparison can show the scale of the problem....

Filed Under: bailout
Category: Economy


Historic Bailout Vote: House, Senate Vote On Bailout Plan To 'Rescue' Financial Markets – Can It?

by Gary Grimes
10/1/2008 4:00:00 PM

News reports say the Senate is preparing to vote on a revised plan Wednesday evening, but the question remains: Will this bailout plan – or “rescue” effort, if you prefer the government's term for it – save the financial markets?

Filed Under: bailout, bailouts
Category: Economy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.