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Trouble in Dubai: Another "Lehman Brothers"?
Did Lehman failure cause the financial crisis? Not if you look at it from an Elliott wave perspective.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/27/2009 12:00:00 PM

Friday morning (November 27) brought troubling news from Dubai. This begs the question: Could this be this year's "Lehman Brothers" event? As we all know, mainstream financial pundits have almost universally blamed the 2008 Wall Street meltdown on Lehman's bankruptcy. Is Dubai this year's "Lehman"?

Filed Under: dubai, lehman brothers, Wall Street, meltdown
Category: Stocks


Credit Crisis, One Year Later: On the Road to Recovery?

by Nico Isaac
9/15/2009 11:30:00 AM
This day -- September 15, 2009 -- marks the one-year anniversary of Lehman Brothers' collapse, the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history. More than "one for the history books," this event goes down as the "weekend Wall Street died" and re-emerged as Zombieland -- the bleak home to once booming financial firms gone bust, feeding off the lifeblood of federal bailout money.
Filed Under: credit crisis, financials, banking sector, Citigroup, Wall Street, bank industry
Category: Economy


U.S. Economy: Back on Track? What Track?
The U.S. has borrowed and leveraged itself into a deep, deep hole.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/13/2008 11:45:00 AM

What ails Wall Street is the poison flowing from the over-leveraged Main Street – and not the other way around, as many would suggest. Cheap money, like a phoenix wrought from the ashes of the dot.com bubble, is at the heart of this crisis. There would be no "toxic Wall Street assets" if Main Street were making their payments.

Filed Under: Mortgage backed securities, main street, Wall Street, presidential debate
Category: Economy


Admit It: People Herd
Why is the stock market falling so uncontrollably?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/9/2008 7:30:00 PM

On a day when the DJIA fell another 678 points to close below 8,600, it seems appropriate to talk about the herding impulse in humans. We at EWI observed decades ago that the financial markets are anything by rational. Now the mainstream media is also picking up on this fact. So why has the stock market "become a case study in the psychology of crowds"? Here's an eye-opening answer.

Filed Under: herding, Investing, Wall Street, crowd psychology, market psychology
Category: Stocks


Why the Bailouts Ultimately Won't Work

by Editorial Staff
9/19/2008 4:00:00 PM

Government officials and newspaper editorials, even those from skeptical writers, have been unanimous in claiming that a bailout, no matter how unpleasant, was “necessary.” But this is nonsense. Find out why.

Filed Under: bailout, bailouts, Wall Street, short selling, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FDIC
Category: Classic Prechter


Do Stocks Reflect The Economy?

by Nico Isaac
4/21/2008 4:15:00 PM
Regarding the question raised by today’s headline, “Do Stocks Reflect The Economy?” -- the one-word answer is NO. The cornerstone of conventional economic wisdom is pure baloney.
Filed Under: Stocks, Economy, Wall Street, crude oi, housing, Citigroup, DJIA, conquer the crash, roaring twenties, new economy
Category: Stocks


Headed For Recession: Are We or Aren't We?

by Nico Isaac
4/4/2008 4:30:00 PM

From the “Today Show” to the “Tonight Show,” the Situation Room to the locker room, and the cocktail party to the carpool lane, one issue has taken center stage: U.S. recession -- Are we OR Aren’t we there yet? 

Filed Under: recession, Wall Street, ben bernanke, Federal Reserve, interest rates, U.S. economy
Category: Economy


A Non-Guarantee Put to the Test (part 1)
The Ballad of Fannie & Freddie

by Robert Folsom
3/13/2008 2:30:00 PM

Once upon a time, the U.S. government created the secondary mortgage market. (During FDR's New Deal, if you're dying to know). With help from the agency known as Fannie Mae, this government creation grew tall and strong. What's more, the government held a virtual monopoly over its creation for several decades -- and after all, the market was its creation....

Filed Under: credit crunch, Freddie Mac, government bonds, great depression, Real Estate, real-estate, recession, subprime, subprime mortgage, subprime mortgages, Wall Street
Category: Economy


The REAL "First Big Book on the Credit Crunch"
After the Fact Acclaim: Irony Speaks for Itself

by Robert Folsom
3/7/2008 5:15:00 PM

Yesterday I said that the Economist magazine had just published a favorable review of a book about the housing market crisis. The author is a respected financial journalist, and a thumbs up from a publication like the Economist suggests a book that deserves to be taken seriously. But consider these other quotes, specifically the "who" & "when" behind them...

Filed Under: Bear market, conquer the crash, deflation, Fed rate cut, Federal Reserve, Real Estate, recession, subprime, subprime mortgages, Wall Street
Category: Real Estate


There's More Than One Monetary Policy "Villain"
Greenspan's Reversal of Fortune

by Robert Folsom
3/6/2008 6:00:00 PM

The Economist magazine published a favorable review today of a book about the housing market crisis, and one comment from the review kind of jumped off the page: "The story has no single villain, but Alan Greenspan comes close. Under him, the Federal Reserve fuelled the housing boom by sharply cutting the cost of short-term money." So, from "Maestro" to "Villain" -- how's that for a reversal of fortune?

Filed Under: banking, Fed, Federal Reserve, Greenspan, personal finance, recession, Wall Street
Category: Economy


Was the "Verdict In" On A Recession Three Years Ago?
Tomorrow's News Today, in 2005

by Robert Folsom
3/3/2008 6:00:00 PM

That was back when the weekly news magazines ran cover stories with headlines with titles like "Home $weet Home." (Time magazine, June 2005.) Once again, the just-published March 2008 The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast offers subscribers analysis and forecasts that could soon prove to be "tomorrow's news today" -- such as the bond auction on February 21, when 395 out of 641 publicly offered bonds "failed" due to insufficient bidding. That's nearly "10 times the number of failures recorded in the entire 23-year life of auction rate bonds."

Filed Under: Economy, GDP, housing, Wall Street
Category: Economy


'Buy-and-Hold' -- A Bull Market Trait?
Do financial investors act "rationally" when making decisions about when to buy or sell stocks?

by Nico Isaac
2/29/2008 4:45:00 PM

More times than we can count, financial investors act completely against reason. The harder stocks fall, and the worse the economic data, the stronger becomes the public's faith in the future of the overall market. "Rational"? We think not. Regular -- however -- it is very much so. Seeing is believing via our graphic illustration...

Filed Under: rational, dow jones industrial average, NYSE, Wall Street, bottom, buy-and-hold
Category: Stocks


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IN THE MEDIA
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As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.