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S&P: Much Ado About... 5.5 Percent
The time to get excited about this rally was probably back in March.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/20/2009 5:15:00 PM

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied above 10,000 in mid-October, it understandably got a lot of attention from Wall Street and Main Street. But the time to get excited about this rally was back in March. Investors who waited until the economy improved enough to give them confidence to buy stocks again did so just as the rally slowed to a virtual halt.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, DJIA, s&p, bull market
Category: Stocks


Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part II
There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S.

by Jason Farkas
11/13/2009 11:30:00 AM

In Part II of this article, EWI's Jason Farkas explains further why hyperinflation in the U.S. is likely not something we should worry about over the next few years -- and what signs to look for when it does become a real threat.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, inflation, hyperinflation, deflation, deficit spending, Zimbabwe, quantitative easing
Category: Economy


Hyperinflation Worries Laid to Rest, Part I
There is one major difference between Zimbabwe and the U.S.

by Jason Farkas
11/12/2009 1:30:00 PM

The situation in the U.S. situation is different from bouts with hyperinflation in Argentina, Mexico and Brazil. It also seems reasonable to examine hyperinflation in another nation -- Zimbabwe -- in order to answer a few important questions...

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, inflation, hyperinflation, deflation, deficit spending, Zimbabwe
Category: Economy


Real Estate’s Latest Chapter
The problems of the commercial real estate market are too large to ignore.

by Jason Farkas
11/5/2009 3:45:00 PM

Large commercial buildings are illiquid. This is especially true during an economic contraction and credit crunch. Although roughly half the size of the residential housing market, the commercial real estate market is still twice the size of the total U.S. stock market, so its problems are too large to ignore. They include...

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, comercial real estate, reit, liquidity, leverage
Category: Real Estate


Illusion of Control: The Fed, Stock Market and Economy
People who say the Fed controls inflation and deflation miss this key point: social mood.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/3/2009 2:15:00 PM

Here's a question we often receive at Elliott Wave International's Message Board: "Robert Prechter correctly predicted deflation. But isn't the government in control? The economy is improving, so why can't they do THIS [fill in the blank] to stop deflation altogether?" In our opinion everyone who says that the Fed is in control overlooks one key point: social mood. Here's Bob Prechter's explanation...

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Federal Reserve, deflation, social mood
Category: Stocks


Optimism is Back. Should You Buy Stocks Now?
Consider an Elliott wave forecast before you take the plunge.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/20/2009 3:30:00 PM

The DJIA has been moving sideways for most of August, but the talk of "a new bull market" is getting louder. The optimism is back! If you randomly poll 100 average investors and ask them whether it's bullish or bearish for stocks, 99 of them will probably answer "bullish." What would your answer be?

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Elliott Wave Theorist, daily sentiment index, new bull market, Federal Reserve
Category: Stocks


If You Want To Be a Wolf, Run With Wolves
An interview with a maverick trader and "a true Elliott wave expert."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/18/2009 1:30:00 PM

Elliott Wave International is proud to present an interview with Roberto Hernandez, a maverick trader and "a true Elliott wave expert," as his mentor, Dick Diamond, calls him. Roberto graciously agreed to describe for Elliott Wave International's readers some of his favorite personal trading techniques...

Filed Under: elliott wave, Robert Prechter, oscillators, technical analysis
Category: Stocks


A Bull Market That Lasts Forever?
Robert Prechter's research proves the idea of feedback loops "untenable."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/13/2009 1:00:00 PM

the absolute majority of analysts and investors see recent economic improvements as positive for the stock market. They even say that there are "feedback loops" between the two: As the economy improves, stocks rise; as stocks rise, the economy improves -- and round and round they go. But his idea is "untenable," says Bob Prechter of Elliott Wave International.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, elliott wave, recession
Category: Stocks


Shrinking Trade Deficit: A Bullish Sign for Stocks?
If you answered "yes," keep reading.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/14/2009 3:15:00 PM

Last week's U.S. trade deficit number came in below expectations, which many se as a good economic sign. Is it also bullish for the stock market? It's not a stretch that many (if not most) analysts and investors see it that way. But take a look at this chart first...

Filed Under: trade deficit, trade gap, Robert Prechter
Category: Stocks


Cash IS King After All, Investors Discover
Too bad for them that they are only discovering it now.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/6/2009 5:15:00 PM

The returns on cash and cash equivalents -- such as U.S. Treasury bills -- have been more than "minuscule." As Elliott Wave International's president Robert Prechter told Barron's in a recent interview, "Cash has been good. Today you can buy twice the house, twice the stock shares and twice the gasoline that you could a short while ago." And as for T-bills...

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, cash, deflation, U.S. Treasury bills
Category: Stocks


Some Thoughts on the Fractional Reserve Banking System
As Bernie Madoff starts his 150-year prison sentence, questions about safety of our financial system remain.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/1/2009 5:00:00 PM

Here's an interesting question we've just received at EWI's Message Board: "Dear EWI, as the Madoff hoopla is going full blast today on TV, I would be interested to hear your thoughts on this question: Are today's banks in their vast majority also massive ponzi schemes?" Answering a question like that can be a simple matter of definitions -- so let's give it a shot...

Filed Under: Federal Reserve, fractional reserve, easy money, Robert Prechter, multiplier effect, fiat money system, Madoff, ponzi scheme
Category: Economy


Important Q&As You May Have Been Missing
EWI's Message Board is a free resource to get your questions answered by EWI experts.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2009 5:30:00 PM
At EWI's Message Board, readers ask us dozens of questions, daily. We try and answer everyone, and the best Q&As we publish for all to see. Below are our three nominees in the "Best Question" category for the month of June. Enjoy!
Filed Under: consumer confidence, social mood, Robert Prechter, socionomics, message board
Category: Economy


Stocks: Why Are Investors "Getting Worried" Only Now?
A fast look at the recent DJIA rally raises interesting questions.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/23/2009 1:45:00 PM

Since its June 12 top, the DJIA has lost close to 6 percent. Blame the economic data, say the mainstream financial analysts. But why would investors who disregarded "bad fundamentals" for more than three months suddenly be worried about them? It's a puzzling situation, but only until you look at it from an Elliott wave perspective.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, global economy, DJIA, Dow, social mood, socionomics
Category: Stocks


(Video) Questions for Bob Prechter: What's the Role of Demographics in Forecasting?

by Editorial Staff
6/22/2009 11:45:00 AM

Robert Prechter answers questions after his May 14 presentation at Bloomberg headquarters in New York for the Market Technicians Association's 2009 Symposium.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Harry Dent, Demographics
Category: Classic Prechter


(Video) Questions for Robert Prechter: Are Retail Brokerages Heading For Oblivion?

by Editorial Staff
6/12/2009 4:00:00 PM

Robert Prechter answers questions after his May 14 presentation at Bloomberg headquarters in New York for the Market Technicians Association's 2009 Symposium.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Retail Brokerage Industry
Category: Economy


How Waves of Social Mood Fooled Most Economists
But more are growing skeptical of the conventional view...

by Alan Hall
5/19/2009 5:15:00 PM
With more than $4 trillion in losses, 9% of the labor force now unemployed, industrial production down 13% from a year ago and most company profits falling or crossing the zero line into losses, it has become starkly evident that the economists who failed to see the crisis coming really don’t understand what drives the economy.
Filed Under: waves of social mood, Economy, Shiller, Animal Spirits, herding, social mood, Robert Prechter
Category: Economy


Meet Robert Prechter, the Lone Bull
Yep, you read that correctly. Before he became the financial industry's "lonely bear," Robert Prechter had to shake his reputation of being the lone BULL.

by Gary Grimes
5/7/2009 4:30:00 PM

It's no secret Robert Prechter has a reputation of being bearish. But let's put that label aside for a moment -- we're not ashamed that his recommended cash portfolio outperformed the stock market for 10+ years running; it's just that labels are beside the point for this column.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Elliott Wave Principle
Category: Stocks


(NEW Prechter Video) What Were You Watching at Dow 14,000?
Prechter’s October 19, 2007 Bloomberg interview was more than a 20th anniversary special.

by Gary Grimes
7/14/2008 4:15:00 PM

A Special Video Issue of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist is online now. But, before you watch his updated insights, please watch and read a few selections from Prechter's Oct. 19, 2007 Elliott Wave Theorist and Bloomberg TV interview on that day.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Bear market, deflation, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, price of gold, us stocks
Category: Stocks


Categories
Most Recent Articles
- 11/20/2009 5:15:00 PM
S&P: Much Ado About... 5.5 Percent
- 11/20/2009 4:30:00 PM
Commodities Feast of Opportunities: Dig In
- 11/20/2009 3:45:00 PM
Bonds: How Will They Do in a Deflation?
- 11/20/2009 2:15:00 PM
Why Your FDIC-Backed Bank Could Fail
- 11/19/2009 5:15:00 PM
Gold and the Dow: The exceptions, or the rule?

Announcing EWI's New eBook ...

EWI's New Trading eBook: How to Trade the Highest Probability Opportunities: Price Bars and Chart PatternsIn this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.

Download your copy today!



To access EWI's valuable Q&A message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> Wars: Do they affect the stock market's Elliott wave patterns? 
> Market manipulation: Can wave patterns detect it?  
> Warren Bufett: Doesn't his latest major purchase boost market mood? 
> George Soros' Reflexivity Theory: Similar to Prechter's socionomics? 
> College tuition: Will it cost more or less in a deflation? 
> Currencies: How do I count Elliott waves between cash and futures? 
> Weekends and trading halts: How do they factor into Elliott wave count? 
> Crisis Part II: Who will people blame if stocks crash again? 
> Socionomics and 'The Wisdom of Crowds': Any connection? 
> Do you know of any mutual funds that use Elliott wave analysis? 

Club EWI Members: Click Here

 
Press Room
IN THE MEDIA
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts

As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.