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China's Bull: Don't Rest On Its Economic Laurels
Don't bet on China's "strong economic fundamentals" to save its stock market.

by Nico Isaac
11/19/2009 1:45:00 PM

To many, China's recent economic data suggests their bull market is here to stay: The 3rd quarter 2009 saw a 16% leap in industrial production and retail sales, and a strong rise in GDP to 8.9%... Does that sound familiar? IT SHOULD. Just two years ago, China's economic numbers were similarly strong. Yet do you remember what Chinese stocks did in 2007? Take a look at this chart -- it's a good remind that economic growth is NOT what drives the stock market.

Filed Under: china, Shanghai Composite, chinese stocks, bull market, industrial production, retail sales, GDP
Category: Stocks


If The US Economy Is Out Of The Woods, Then I'm The Queen Of England

by Nico Isaac
11/6/2009 7:15:00 PM
Almost everywhere I look in the mainstream financial media, I see story after story celebrating the end of the worst U.S. recession since the 1930's AND start of an all-out recovery to a brighter, smarter-for-the-pain bull market. "The grimmest days are now behind us," begins a November 5 BBC report. "All that talk of a return to the thirties now seems fanciful."
Filed Under: us economy, GDP, recovery, unemployment, finance, credit crisis
Category: Economy


Hanging by a Single Horsehair
Significant problems lie ahead for our new President and Congress.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/11/2008 3:30:00 PM

Fear and greed. The human predilection for cyclic, emotional progression and the basis of the Elliott Wave Principle. We are up to our necks in the fear side of the cycle, and for plenty of good reasons. The Sword of Damocles was only hanging by a single horsehair.  Just how much weight can that horsehair support?  

Filed Under: u.s. treasury, fear, bonds, GDP, Sword of Damocles, credit default swaps, Federal Reserve
Category: Economy


Was the "Verdict In" On A Recession Three Years Ago?
Tomorrow's News Today, in 2005

by Robert Folsom
3/3/2008 6:00:00 PM

That was back when the weekly news magazines ran cover stories with headlines with titles like "Home $weet Home." (Time magazine, June 2005.) Once again, the just-published March 2008 The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast offers subscribers analysis and forecasts that could soon prove to be "tomorrow's news today" -- such as the bond auction on February 21, when 395 out of 641 publicly offered bonds "failed" due to insufficient bidding. That's nearly "10 times the number of failures recorded in the entire 23-year life of auction rate bonds."

Filed Under: Economy, GDP, housing, Wall Street
Category: Economy


Tommorow's News Today, A Year Ago

by Robert Folsom
1/18/2008 10:45:43 AM

The major stock indexes closed higher on Monday (Jan. 14).

Filed Under: U.S. Markets, Wall St., GDP
Category: Stocks


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.