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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/17/2009 2:30:00 PM
The Fed's chairman Bernanke said on Monday they were watching currencies markets to "help ensure that the dollar is strong"; the ECB's Trichet said that Bernanke's statement was "very important." Apparently, forex traders interpreted both comments as bullish for the dollar... but if you've been watching the EUR/USD's Elliott wave patterns, you didn't have to wait for the morning news to tell you that. See this chart...
Filed Under:
Bernanke, Trichet, u.s. dollar, euro, forex, foreign exchange, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2009 7:15:00 PM
News stories move the markets -- that's what just about every investor believes. But can you predict what the market will do before the news is released? Let's look at a fresh example: the actio in the EUR/USD on November 4, when the Federal Reserve Bank announced its latest decision on the U.S. interest rates.
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, eur/usd, Federal Reserve, interest rates, u.s. dollar
Category:
Currencies
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by
Jeff Reckseit
11/2/2009 4:15:00 PM
Large banks and more recently pension funds have suddenly become infatuated with gold. They chant the mantras that gold bugs have known for years: gold is a store of value; owning gold is financial insurance; an ounce of gold will always buy a good suit. The idea is that if the economy continues to weaken and share prices decline, a strategic allocation of the precious metal will hedge and offset some of the losses in the financial sector.
Filed Under:
Banks, pension funds, Gold, Currencies, oil, Grains, Meats, softs, collectible cars, dollar rally
Category:
Precious Metals
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/27/2009 3:00:00 PM
Early on October 26, the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro (and the most widely-traded forex pair) began an out-of-the-blue slide from near $1.50. If the dollar's dramatic show of strength in the midst of all the doomsday scenarios surprised you, you're not alone. Anyone looking at the Monday morning forex headlines was likely caught off guard. What's behind the dollar rally?
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, Currencies, forex, eur/usd, euro, china, foreign exchange reserves
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/29/2009 8:00:00 AM
We have many resources at elliottwave.com that help you learn Elliott wave analysis -- but nothing helps you learn faster than watching a good teacher. Watch this free 6-minute clip from a live webinar Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens held for his subscribers last year. Here's what Jim talked about...
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex trading, George Soros
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/18/2009 4:30:00 PM
Trading the EUR/USD has not been easy lately. The exchange rate between the euro and the U.S. dollar (the most widely-traded currency pair) hasn't made much net progress, but it's made up for that in spades by choppy, volatile, sideways-moving market action. When the going gets tough, the tough get going, right? Before you say yes, read these thoughts...
Filed Under:
dollar, euro, forex, Euro dollar exchange rate, Currencies, trading
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/15/2009 10:30:00 AM
Unless you're a financial professional with a keen interest in international bond markets, you probably didn't even notice an obscure news item from Germany last week. Yet it may speak volumes about the coming trend change in the U.S. dollar.
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, u.s. dollar, dollar Index, euro, eur/usd, foreign exchange
Category:
Currencies
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by
Jeff Reckseit
9/10/2009 5:30:00 PM
One need only glance at the front page of the local newspaper for a sense of how things are. The Baltimore Sun recently featured an above-the-fold article which said that the median size of a new single-family home was smaller for the first time in 14 years.
Filed Under:
stock indices, Currencies, Commodities, housing market, yard sale, recovery
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/25/2009 4:30:00 PM
"Fundamental" indicators change with the wind because they apply only to what has already happened. It's easy to "explain" past market action -- try predicting it instead. With Elliott wave analysis, you can. As this chart shows, there is a potentially major opportunity developing in the U.S. dollar right now...
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, u.s. dollar, euro, usd, Bernanke
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
8/3/2009 4:00:00 PM
On Monday, August 3, the U.S. dollar packed about as much heat as the Abominable Snowman. Ipso facto: the greenback plunged to a new low for 2009 against its European counterpart, the euro. As for what caused the sharp and sudden drop in the dollar's value -- the mainstream experts pointed their collective finger at one piece of data...
Filed Under:
Currencies, us dollar, greenback, euro
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/28/2009 2:15:00 PM
If you've been frustrated lately by the lack of action in the euro-dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) you're not alone. Since early June the pair has gone nowhere, but that's only the half of it: It has also swung wildly in the 500-pip range between $1.43 and 1.37, as this chart shows...
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, u.s. dollar, euro, eur/usd, dx
Category:
Currencies
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by
Jeff Reckseit
7/17/2009 4:00:00 PM
Unemployment is high. Earnings are horrible. Deficits are out of control. House prices are still under pressure. And auto sales are flat. Yet the stock market is up about 40% from its March lows.
Let’s say that you’re convinced the market is going to collapse, -- so you sell. And you get stopped out. Let’s say you sell again. And get stopped out. Sell again. Stopped out. So you wait for the market to turn down and you sell into the decline. The market bounces and you get stopped out yet again. Then the market goes back down in earnest – but without you. Does this sound familiar? If so, it doesn’t have to be that way.
Filed Under:
stock market, fractal geometry, self-similarity, Gold, Silver, Currencies, unemployment
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/9/2009 4:45:00 PM
If you try and trade forex based on what you read in the news, more often than not you are simply running with the herd. That's not always a bad thing, because the herd goes with the trend, and we all know that "the trend is your friend." But there is one big problem...
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, u.s. dollar, euro' trend is your friend
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/22/2009 12:45:00 PM
Jim Martens, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, regularly posts thoughts on the business of forex trading for his subscribers. Below is Jim's latest Market Insight, posted on the morning of May 22.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, eur/usd, Usd/chf, sterling, money management, forex, Currencies, china, u.s. debt
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2009 2:30:00 PM
Since early May, the U.S. dollar has been losing. Trying to find the cause of the weakness, conventional forex analysts have been citing various reasons -- all of the explaining it really well...after the fact. Watch this free May 8 video for an example of how Elliott wave analysis saw the current dollar weakness before it occurred.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, euro, brazil, china, forex, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/6/2009 10:30:00 AM
If you trade forex, you've probably noticed that some markets have behaved erratically in recent weeks. The EUR/USD, for example, the most widely-traded currency pair, would go sideways for days -- but then start swinging wildly from hour to hour. What's going on? Here are some thoughts on this from Jim Martens, EWI's Senior Currency Strategist.
Filed Under:
forex, Currencies, eur/usd, prechter
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2009 12:30:00 PM
As long as you know how to type, few things are easier than entering an online trading order. What's difficult is winning on those trades. "Ease of trading" does not equal "ease of winning," yet inexperienced traders confuse the two all the time. Is it any wonder, then, that statistically only about 5% of futures traders make money over the long haul?
Filed Under:
trading, futures, Currencies, forex, Stocks, ETFs, options
Category:
Stocks
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by
Susan C. Walker
4/24/2009 6:00:00 PM
Gold in particular follows the Wave Principle impeccably, at least in a world of fiat paper currencies. Gold is a wonderful reflector of the Wave Principle because unlike, say, pork bellies, it is traded by people around the globe, so the prime mover is the psychology of human beings at the most shared and basic level.
Filed Under:
stock averages, Precious metals, interest rates, Currencies, Commodities, Gold, inflation, Federal Reserve
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/20/2009 4:00:00 PM
Here's a Monday puzzle for you: On the morning of April 20, the dollar pushed the exchange rate with its main "competitor" (the euro) below the "psychologically-important" $1.30 level. Why is the dollar getting stronger when "everyone knows" it should be crashing, considering the exploding debts of the U.S. government?
Filed Under:
dollar, euro, exchange rate, Currencies, froex
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2009 4:00:00 PM
This is a good week to talk about clarity of Elliott wave patterns in forex market charts. For example, take a look at the messy patterns the euro-dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) has been showing since Monday, April 13...
Filed Under:
eur/usd, euro-dllar exchange rate, forex, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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