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Fibonacci: From A Buzzword To Real-Life Application
From the proportions of our DNA strand to our galaxy, the Fibonacci ratio defines the natural progression of growth and decay.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/2/2008 6:00:00 PM

Technical analysts, in recent years, have elevated “Fibonacci” to the level of a buzzword. Despite this unfortunate fact, in skilled hands, Fibonacci ratios can prove extremely handy when you're calculating a market retracement or price target. The most popular of these ratios are the .618 and 1.618. But here's a new twist on the old Fibonacci technique -- "Reverse Fibonacci"...

Filed Under: Commodities, fibonacci, reverse Fibonacci, live cattle, feeder cattle, futures
Category: Commodities


Commodity Opportunity: Go Hog Wild!

by Nico Isaac
11/26/2008 4:45:00 PM
While most folks out there have turkey on the brain for the upcoming holiday -- Elliott Wave International's chief commodity expert Jeffrey Kennedy is thinking of the other white meat: Pork. Namely, Jeffery has just identified a near-term opportunity in pork belly futures.
Filed Under: pork bellies, futures, Commodities, soybean meal, Daily Futures Junctures
Category: Commodities


"Commodities Have Crashed." Now What?
Or was a commodity bull market to begin with?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/24/2008 6:00:00 PM

Commodities have taken a severe beating in recent months, as EWI's founder and CEO Bob Prechter points out in his October Elliott Wave Theorist. And they have dropped even farther since Bob published the Theorist in mid-October. Specifically, Platinum is now down 67%, Copper 60%, Oil 59%, Silver 61%, Wheat 61%, Corn 52%, Soybeans 50%, Cotton 54%. The question is, now what?

Filed Under: Commodities, u.s. dollar
Category: Commodities


The Next Big Move In Crude, Copper, and Commodities Is…

by Nico Isaac
11/21/2008 4:45:00 PM
As the lines on your computer screen continually flash red across the entire scope of the commodity markets, some of you are probably thinking: "What in holy heck happened to the 'safe-haven' premium of this sector?" It's a fair question. Unfortunately, the mainstream pundits don't have a good answer.
Filed Under: Commodities, Crude oil, Copper, futures
Category: Commodities


U.S. Dollar vs. World: Why So Strong?
"There are lots of currency-pair movements that don't make sense."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/17/2008 4:30:00 PM

Conventional assumptions about market drivers don't work – despite what you hear on the six-o'clock news. In fact, if there is one central point in the Elliott wave-based view of the financial markets (and the society at large), it is precisely this: Events outside the markets have NO trend-forming influence. Don't believe us? Explain this, then...

Filed Under: us dollar, australian dollar, oil, Commodities, Gold, eurusd, audusd
Category: Currencies


What's Next For Commodities?

by Nico Isaac
11/14/2008 2:45:00 PM

Is the bear market in commodities over, or has it just begun?” Futures Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy reveals where the strongest case lies – with bulls or bears – with 7 pages and 7 eye-opening charts of every market, from silver to soybeans, inside the brand-new November Monthly Futures Junctures.

Filed Under: Commodities, Silver, soybeans, coffee, sugar, u.s. dollar, cocoa, CRB
Category: Commodities


A Few Days In The Life Of A Commodity Trader

by Nico Isaac
11/13/2008 4:45:00 PM

Over the last four days, I put myself in the (hypothetical) shoes of an average commodity trader schooled in the thought of mainstream economic wisdom. The market I choose is Orange Juice. Find out how the experiment unfolds today...

Filed Under: Commodities, futures, orange juice
Category: Commodities


Coffee Prices & Starbucks: Any Connection?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/10/2008 7:45:00 PM

Jeffrey, let's talk about coffee. Like prices of most soft commodities, coffee has been trending down this year – but what's interesting, have you noticed that the price of Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) has also been sliding? On the first trading day of this year, one share sold for about $18; in October, it fell to about $9. Do you think there is a connection here? -- Jeffrey Kennedy: Interesting observation. Well, yes and no...

Filed Under: coffee, Starbucks, futures, Commodities
Category: Commodities


Have Cocoa Prices Finally Hit Bottom?

by Nico Isaac
11/6/2008 4:00:00 PM
On November 6, cocoa prices were about as "upbeat" as the McCain-for-President camp -- as the sweet market slid to an 11-month low. Little known fact: Cocoa's downtrend is in direct CONTRAST to what the mainstream experts had called for...
Filed Under: cocoa, futures, Commodities
Category: Commodities


A Near-Term Opportunity In Sugar Is Here

by Nico Isaac
10/30/2008 5:15:00 PM
The what: On Thursday October 30, sugar kissed its month-long losing streak goodbye: Prices rocketed to their loftiest level in three weeks. The why: Well, according to the mainstream experts, the main "maaster" of sugar's price trend is… crude oil. Find out the full story....
Filed Under: sugar, futures, Commodities, Crude oil
Category: Commodities


Commodity Futures: Quick Lesson in Chart Analysis
Remember: Diagonal Triangles are ending Elliott wave patterns.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/27/2008 6:30:00 PM

Diagonal Triangles typically form in a fifth wave position of an impulse. The Elliott Wave Principle* book says they appear when the market has gone "too far, too fast." The key thing to remember about them is that they are ending patterns. Because they signal the end of the larger trend, they often ignite volatile moves that quickly retrace the entire preceding wave pattern. This is the Diagonal Triangle I see forming in Soybean Meal right now, on a 45-minute chart...

Filed Under: soybean meal, futures, Commodities
Category: Commodities


(Update) Will GOLD Provide Shelter From The Storm?

by Nico Isaac
10/24/2008 4:15:00 PM
If ever there was a time for the “Safe-Haven” lure of precious metals to surface -- now, yesterday, even seven months ago when the Bear Stearns’ bailout launched the historic reshaping of Wall Street -- would have been it. Yet -- gold prices have officially entered bear market territory right alongside equities.
Filed Under: Gold, Precious metals, Commodities, yellow metal
Category: Precious Metals


Three Commodity Markets: One Pattern

by Nico Isaac
10/23/2008 5:00:00 PM

Passengers on board the mainstream "fundamental" train en route to COTTON have been severely derailed. To wit: On October 16, cotton prices wilted to a two-year low, DESPITE a barrage of bullish factors. Get the whole story today.

Filed Under: futures, cotton, orange juice, feeder cattle, Commodities
Category: Commodities


Coffee, Soybeans: Two Lessons With a Message
Commodity bubble may have burst, but opportunities are still here.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/20/2008 9:30:00 PM

Once again, I sit down to talk with Jeffrey Kennedy, Elliott Wave International's Senior Commodity Analyst and editor of our Futures Junctures Service. -- Jeffrey, the ongoing credit contraction – a.k.a. liquidity crisis – has not spared commodities. Just glancing at the long-term charts you show in the Wave Watch section of your October Monthly Futures Junctures, I see that prices of markets like coffee, corn, wheat or soybeans that were flying high just months ago, are down hard – and I mean, hard! -- Jeffrey Kennedy: Yes, while some commodities have suffered less, corn prices, for example, got cut in half since June...

Filed Under: coffee, Corn, wheat, soybeans, Commodities, bubble, fibonacci, liquidity crisis
Category: Commodities


Commodities: TREATS of Opportunity Galore

by Nico Isaac
10/17/2008 3:00:00 PM
Halloween has arrived early! O.K. Not really. But for those who knock on the door of the brand-new October Monthly Futures Junctures (published October 17), the analysis of the commodity markets will be a treat indeed. Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Corn, and Live Cattle -- dig in.
Filed Under: Commodities, futures, sugar, coffee, cotton, Corn, live cattle
Category: Commodities


Sugar’s “Crude” Logic

by Nico Isaac
10/16/2008 4:30:00 PM
True or False -- Crude oil prices move in step with sugar prices. Answer: According to the mainstream financial experts, that would be tried and T-R-U-E. Whether the reality-based facts agree, however, might surprise you. 
Filed Under: sugar futures, sugar, Crude oil, Commodities
Category: Commodities


Cotton: Futures Forerunner

by Nico Isaac
10/9/2008 3:30:00 PM
The votes are in. The ballots are tallied. And the official frontrunner has been declared. (And no, we’re not talking about the 2008 Presidential Election) We’re talking about the current race to determine which market -- out of all the major commodity candidates out there -- is the greatest contender for near-term opportunity. And the winner is: Cotton
Filed Under: Commodities, futures, cotton, recession
Category: Commodities


Oil Prices Plunge: What “Safe-Haven”?

by Nico Isaac
10/8/2008 4:00:00 PM
According to mainstream financial wisdom, when the plane of the U.S. economy runs out of fuel and starts hurtling toward the earth’s surface, one of the few markets said to provide a parachute of safety is … Oil. Problem is, over the last four months, said parachute has failed to open. 
Filed Under: crude oi, oil, Energy, Commodities, dow jones industrial average
Category: Energy


Commodity Spotlight: How Low Will COCOA Go?

by Nico Isaac
10/3/2008 10:45:00 AM

n general, using “fundamentals” to keep the course of the financial markets is a lot like using a compass to navigate on the moon: The needle rarely points in the right direction. Case in point: the COCOA market circa June 2008.

Filed Under: cocoa futures, Commodities, cocoa
Category: Commodities


Commodity Special: Sweet Opportunity In Sugar

by Nico Isaac
9/24/2008 6:00:00 PM

True or False -- Crude oil prices move in step with sugar prices. Reason being, the higher the cost of oil, and the greater the demand for alternative fuels such as cane-based ethanol. Today's story has the answer that might surprise you.

Filed Under: sugar futures, Commodities, Crude oil, sugar
Category: Commodities


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