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CATEGORY: EUROPEAN MARKETS Return to Free Updates Home Page

14,700 Americans disclose offshore accounts; how will Swiss markets react?
IRS v UBS

by R. Ian Forrest
11/19/2009 11:30:00 AM

As of yesterday's deadline, it looks like US citizens decided that keeping a numbered account in a private bank is more scary than paying taxes. Switzerland's economy is highly dependent on financial services, and an estimated one-third of all offshore accounts are held there. Sounds like doom for the Swiss Market Index (SMI), right?

Filed Under: Switzerland, smi, UBS, IRS, Europe, Tax, banking
Category: European Markets


No Slave To Fashion
It's the lack of monetary enforcement that will likely save Europe from overspending.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/3/2009 1:00:00 PM

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet has proven throughout this financial crisis that he is his own man when it comes to navigating the euro-land banking system through the deflation and debt deleveraging storm. And will likely save Europe from overspending.

Filed Under: interest rates, Bernanke, Trichet, deflation, monetary policy, quantitative easing, bailouts
Category: European Markets


Russian Stocks: Is the Ugly Year Finally Over?

by Nico Isaac
9/24/2009 12:00:00 AM
Russia's RTS stock index has been the third-best performing stock market around the world this year, with shares currently standing at a new high. So, has Russia -- widely known as "the lungs of Europe" -- fully recovered from its economic pneumonia? According to the mainstream experts, the answer is a resounding Y-E-S.
Filed Under: Russia, RTS Index, Russia's stock market
Category: European Markets


Germany's DAX: FREE Insight Into Europe's Leading Economy

by Nico Isaac
9/16/2009 2:00:00 AM
It's one of the first rules in the book of mainstream economic wisdom: a country's economy is the thermometer which "reads" its stock market's temperature. If financial conditions are heating up, stocks rise; if they are cooling down, stocks fall. Were it so simple -- millionaires wouldn't make up a measly .15% of the global population.
Filed Under: European Markets, Germany, DAX Index
Category: European Markets


Deflation: Why Are Central Banks Failing?
In the battle of inflation and deflation, deflation still has the upper hand.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/11/2009 1:00:00 PM

Most conventional economists vigorously dismissed the very idea of deflation just a couple of years ago, but now it' a global reality. Just like the Federal Reserve Bank here in the U.S., overseas central banks have used the "quantitative easing" policy to stop deflation. And just like in the U.S., something is not quite working. Why?

Filed Under: deflation, inflation, federal reserve bank, Bank of England, quantitative easing, money supply, hyperinflation
Category: European Markets


Europe: Will a Record Fiscal "Injection" Save the Stock Market?
"You can’t tell the market what you will or won’t accept. It tells you."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/25/2009 12:30:00 PM

The European Central Bank made a record "liquidity injection" into Europe's money markets this week. Will it help turn things around? Before you say yes, read this insightful comment by Robert Prechter, EWI's founder and president.

Filed Under: european central bank, liquidity injection, Federal Reserve, social mood, prechter, deflation
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Putting Elliott to Work
A good example of how stocks transition from sideways to impulsive trends.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2009 12:30:00 PM

"My experience is that when people are first exposed to the Elliott Wave Principle, they want to know when 5th waves are about to end. But after some experience, the information that becomes most useful is 'show me when a wave 2 is ending' -- because that’s the point right before strong and trending 3rd waves start."

Filed Under: european stocks, dax, Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50, trading systems
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Think of Elliott Waves as a Map

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/29/2009 3:15:00 PM
"The Wave Principle, in some ways, is similar to a detailed road map -- one that guides investors through the market’s countless highways and byways. ...as with identifiable road markers, the market traces out recognizable Elliott waves, and you can begin to know quite comfortably where you are within a move." -- That's an excerpt from the just-published, June issue of EWI's monthly European Financial Forecast.
Filed Under: ftse, eurostoxx, european stocks
Category: European Markets


How Elliott Wave Analysis Helps You Find Opportunities

by Neil Beers
4/14/2009 3:45:00 PM
Elliott wave patterns are strong indicators of the way markets will behave, and our analysts here at Elliott Wave International follow all major global markets to spot such patterns. On April 9, our European Stocks Specialty Service recognized one at a crucial price juncture and posted this intraday forecast for Switzerland's SMI stock index...
Filed Under: elliott waves, european stocks, smi, stock indexes
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: "You Are Here"
Having perspective can greatly reduce the stress of your investment decisions.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/8/2009 5:45:00 PM
It's one thing to forecast for a market to gain or lose -- financial analysts on TV and in print media do it every day. It's quite another to outline the actual twists and turns the market will take to achieve your price targets; a rare market forecaster can do that. And here's why it's so important...
Filed Under: ftse, All-Share Index
Category: European Markets


Europe: Deflation is a Global Story (Part II)
Bear markets have a way of making the impossible possible – and fast.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/11/2009 4:30:00 PM

This is part two of my interview with Brian Whitmer, the new editor of Elliott Wave International’s monthly European Financial Forecast. Here, Brian talks about Europe's "hidden" markets and gives tips on how to trade overseas if you are a U.S.-based investor. He also explains why he thinks the integrity of the European Union will be tested in this bear market.

Filed Under: Aex, bel20, ftse, dax, cac, atx, cece, deflation, prechter, social mood
Category: European Markets


Europe: Deflation is a Global Story (Part I)
This is Part I of an interview with EWI’s new European editor.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/5/2009 6:00:00 PM
Why did you choose to focus on Europe's markets? -- Brian Whitmer: Well, in my opinion, there’s no better place than Europe to apply the Elliott Wave Principle and to study socionomics*. The continent has it all. You’ve got the large markets in London, Paris, and Frankfurt – those usually display the cleanest Elliott wave patterns, and they are perfect to help paint the big picture. But Europe has the smaller markets, too – which add excitement. Just look at what has happened in Ireland, for instance...
Filed Under: Ireland, Russia, iseq, ftse, dax, cac, prechter, deflation
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: How Much More of the "Downside Fireworks"?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/27/2009 5:30:00 PM

In early 2008, European stocks, especially those in Eastern Europe, were investors' darlings, "shelters from the storm." Well, try finding someone who thinks so now. And, says the European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer in the new, March issue, judging by the "incomplete structure" of Elliott wave patterns in Europe's major bourses, they can go even lower.

Filed Under: european stocks, ftse, dax, cac 40, rts
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: "Hope And Optimism Prevail"
These are not the typical psychological conditions for a stock market bottom.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/30/2009 3:45:00 PM

Conventional economists have no shortage of villains to blame the financial crisis on – but if you ask us at EWI, the culprits are as old as investing itself: fear and greed. Whether you are in a financial bubble or a panic, a herding mentality of fear or greed takes over. This curious behavioral phenomenon is precisely what the Elliott Wave Principle describes and studies: Wave patterns in market charts are nothing but fear and greed unfolding right before your eyes. Take a look...

Filed Under: dax, fear, greed
Category: European Markets


A Bucket of Sand for ECB's Jean-Claude Trichet
What's in store for the European Union in 2009?

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
1/29/2009 3:30:00 PM

Pliny the Elder, a Roman military commander and philosopher, was a busy and intelligent man. His greatest legacy, Naturalis Historia, was one of the largest written works to have survived to the modern day in its original format. To this day two items from that book remain in our everyday lexicon. And as I watch the actions of Jean-Claude Trichet, the president of the European Central Bank (ECB), all I can think of is Pliny the Elder's remarks...

Filed Under: european central bank, ECB, british pound, u.s. dollar, euro zone, Trichet, Ireland, Greece, Poland, Hungary, spain, switzerland, italy
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Not As Chaotic As It May Seem
In terms of price movement, both bull and bear markets are quite orderly.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/9/2009 4:15:00 PM

I'll bet that if you ask ten people which of these two words – "order" or "chaos" – they associate bull and bear markets with, eight out of ten will say that bull markets bring order, while bear markets are chaotic. Yet in terms of price movements, both bull and bear markets are quite orderly. You want proof? OK.

Filed Under: dax, cac40, aex' smi, ibex 35, mib 30, euro stoxx 50, rts, fibonacci, british housing, Bank of England
Category: European Markets


Will the U.K. Housing Market Bottom In 2009?

by Nico Isaac
12/15/2008 5:15:00 PM

Ever since the cracks began to appear in London's real estate sector, the mainstream officials have been sliding down a slope of hope. As a whole, they have been the "Boy who cried" Great Britain's housing bottom. Get the full scoop today.

Filed Under: U.K. house prices, london real estate market, housing
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Sideways to… Higher?
Will the October-November period of sideways trading in the FTSE prove to be "base-building"?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/5/2008 4:30:00 PM

Despite the fact that in November the index suffered another significant decline, its overall performance since late September-early October has essentially been flat, with almost zero net progress in either direction. If you think that's interesting, you're not alone. The editor of EWI's monthly European Financial Forecast (EFF), Tom Denham, focuses on this fact on p. 2 of the just-published, December issue -- and presents the following chart... 

Filed Under: ftse, dax, cac40, aex, smi, mib 30, euro stoxx 50, rts, cece
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: Worst News Comes at a Bottom?
"This historic performance suggests that the decline may be at least temporarily exhausted."

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/31/2008 4:00:00 PM

You may know that the Elliott Wave Principle is a contrarian investment method. Based on years of observing market behavior, we at EWI know that while the best news typically comes near market tops, the worst news appears – you guessed it, near bottoms...

Filed Under: Msci world index, corporate bonds, contrarian, socialism, stalin, new deal
Category: European Markets


European Stocks: The Dance Of The Fearful
Bear markets can destroy very quickly what took years to build.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/8/2008 6:00:00 PM

Bear markets can destroy very quickly what took years to build. They are fast because they are driven by fear, and fear is stronger than greed, the bull market catalyst. This is what Tom Denham, Elliott Wave International Senior European Equity Analyst, says about this cycle in the opening paragraph of his current, October European Financial Forecast...

Filed Under: dax, bear markets, fibonacci
Category: European Markets


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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...

EWI's New Trading eBook: How to Trade the Highest Probability Opportunities: Price Bars and Chart PatternsIn this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.

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To access EWI's valuable Q&A message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> Wars: Do they affect the stock market's Elliott wave patterns? 
> Market manipulation: Can wave patterns detect it?  
> Warren Bufett: Doesn't his latest major purchase boost market mood? 
> George Soros' Reflexivity Theory: Similar to Prechter's socionomics? 
> College tuition: Will it cost more or less in a deflation? 
> Currencies: How do I count Elliott waves between cash and futures? 
> Weekends and trading halts: How do they factor into Elliott wave count? 
> Crisis Part II: Who will people blame if stocks crash again? 
> Socionomics and 'The Wisdom of Crowds': Any connection? 
> Do you know of any mutual funds that use Elliott wave analysis? 

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As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.