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Stocks & Crude: A "Rare" Alignment?

by Nico Isaac
12/1/2008 5:30:00 PM

According to the mainstream experts, the joined status of stocks and crude (to the downside) is as rare an event as Hallye's Comet. A myth-busting chart of the 52-week correlation between oil and stocks since 1996 strongly DISAGREES...

Filed Under: Crude oil, dow jones industrial average, oil, us stocks
Category: Energy


Crude Oil Prices: About To Cross A Line

by Nico Isaac
11/19/2008 4:15:00 PM

Fact: When crude oil prices were rocketing to never-before-seen heights back in July 2008, the mainstream pundits saw no end to the red-hot winning streak in black gold. Find out how our analysts saw the oil market cross the "line in the sand" from bull-to-bear beforehand...

Filed Under: Crude oil, oil, Energy, Stocks
Category: Energy


Crude Plunges Below $60: When Will Oil's Freefall End?

by Nico Isaac
11/11/2008 12:15:00 PM

On Tuesday, November 11, crude oil plunged 5%-plus to its lowest level in 20 months. Below $60 per barrel is a far cry from the $300 oil forecasts delivered by the mainstream experts this summer. See how one "brave analyst" called the end of crude's uptrend before the powerful slide began.

Filed Under: Crude oil, Energy, oil, peak oil
Category: Energy


(Update) Why Oil Prices Change – Part III
And Seven Reasons Why They Don't

by Robert Folsom
10/23/2008 5:30:00 PM

For the most part, my research time proved an exercise in myth busting – which is to say, I realized that I needed to explain what does not change oil prices before I could explain what does....

Filed Under:
Category: Energy


(Update) Crude Oil: Gentlemen, Stop Your Engines
$200 oil: How could have oil experts gotten it so wrong?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/16/2008 3:00:00 PM

After hitting an all-time high of $147 a barrel in July, oil fell as low as $77.09 (on October 10) – an almost 50% decline. And now, "Goldman Sachs, among those predicting $200 a barrel oil, cut its year-end forecast of oil to $70…" (APHow could have oil experts gotten it so wrong?

Filed Under: Crude oil, commodity bubble, OPEC
Category: Energy


Oil Prices Plunge: What “Safe-Haven”?

by Nico Isaac
10/8/2008 4:00:00 PM
According to mainstream financial wisdom, when the plane of the U.S. economy runs out of fuel and starts hurtling toward the earth’s surface, one of the few markets said to provide a parachute of safety is … Oil. Problem is, over the last four months, said parachute has failed to open. 
Filed Under: crude oi, oil, Energy, Commodities, dow jones industrial average
Category: Energy


Oil Prices Say “Watch Out”

by Nico Isaac
9/30/2008 4:15:00 PM
If ever there was a time for the cause-and-effect logic of conventional economic wisdom to play out in the real world, September 2008 was it. And Crude Oil was the market.
Filed Under: Crude oil, Energy, Ike, Gas Crisis, oil war, dow jones industrial average
Category: Energy


Oil Prices AND The “Ike Spike” That Never Was
And Never Would Be…

by Nico Isaac
9/15/2008 4:45:00 PM

Whatever account of Ike’s toll is closer to the truth, the main point doesn’t change: Any market participant who took the storm rages/oil rise-warnings seriously, found themselves licking their wounds as no crude oil price spikes followed. That very same “wisdom” also triggered a barrage of bullish oil forecasts from the energy in-crowd, a national outbreak of panic at the gas pumps, and price gauging -- ALL based on fear and speculation rather than facts...

Filed Under:
Category: Energy


Oil & Stocks: Mortal Enemies?
The Media's Comic Book Version of Markets

by Nico Isaac
9/3/2008 11:00:00 AM

Imagine reading all about Wall Street in comic book form. The superhero of the story would be the U.S. stock market. Who would be the bad guy? Well, if reporting by the financial press is any indication, the villainous Black Gold. The two characters stand at opposite extremes of light and dark, good and evil. If one is rising, the other must always be falling...

Filed Under:
Category: Energy


Crude Oil: A “Gut-wrenching, Volatile, Fear-laden” Move Ahead
P.S. Hurricane activity means Hooey to Oil’s overall trend

by Nico Isaac
8/26/2008 4:30:00 PM

The energy in-crowd spends more time watching changes in climate patterns than Al Gore. Their main goal: Spot “bullish” storm activity in oil producing regions that could damage supply and therefore, spark a rise in prices. Problem is, hurricane activity means hooey to oil's overall trend...

Filed Under: Crude oil, oil, hurricane, gustav, Energy
Category: Energy


Why Are Oil Prices Falling? (Video)
Now that oil is down 25% off its peak, people are asking why are prices falling, and so fast?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/15/2008 8:15:00 PM
Now that oil has taken a 25% dive off that peak (in less than a month!), people are asking – why is the price falling, and so fast? And that's a very good question. Did the global demand for oil suddenly take a u-turn? Is there peace in the Middle East? Have speculators shifted their attention to other markets? Watch this free video for an Elliott wave perspective.
Filed Under: Crude oil, Russia, Georgia, supply shortages, global demand for oil, Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline
Category: Energy


Will OIL Prices Continue To Fall?
And why they started to slide in the first place…

by Nico Isaac
8/6/2008 5:15:00 PM
Public (Economic) Enemy Number One -- the soaring oil market -- has been caught. The damage from its record-smashing rally contained. From their all-time July 11, 2008 peak, crude prices have plunged to a three-month low. One day before the FALL, our Specialty Service Energy Outlook acknowledged the market's downside potential...
Filed Under: Crude oil, Energy, oil fall, geopolitical unrest
Category: Energy


Crude Oil: Drilling For Opportunity
On July 11, a perfect fundamental bullish storm SHOULD HAVE sent crude prices to the moon. Instead...

by Nico Isaac
7/24/2008 4:15:00 PM

July 11, 2008 was the unofficial D-Day for the Crude Oil market. “D” -- as in, DOWN. From that most recent peak, oil prices have plummeted more than $20, to a two-month low. The real shocker: On that date, a perfect fundamental bullish storm SHOULD HAVE sent crude prices to the moon...

Filed Under: Crude oil, Energy, oil, futures, Commodities, orange juice
Category: Energy


Crude Oil Crashes: Temporary Glitch - or - Lasting Trend Change?
One of these things is not like the other one…

by Nico Isaac
7/16/2008 4:45:00 PM

In the end, fundamental analysis masks the true “sound” of a market’s underlying trend. In the case of oil: The most recent selloff in crude kicked off on July 11. One day earlier, on July 10, EWI's Energy Specialty Service acknowledged the downside potential in the market’s near-term future...

Filed Under: Crude oil, Energy, oil, economic woes
Category: Energy


(Video) $147 Oil: What Is Driving Up Prices?
Crude's latest rally makes sense even in the absence of truly bullish news.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/11/2008 6:00:00 PM

Crude oil rallied to another all-time high on Friday, July 11 – to $147.27 a barrel. But glance at the headlines, and it's hard to call the reasons analysts cite as the cause for the $5-rally as bullish news. However, from the standpoint of Elliott wave analysis, crude's rally makes sense, with or without the news. This free video explains why.

Filed Under: Why Oil Prices Change, $147 a barrel, Iran, crude, brent
Category: Energy


Oil Prices: Thorn In Stocks' Side?

by Nico Isaac
6/17/2008 4:15:00 PM
Word on Wall Street is -- High oil prices are to rising equities what a blaring siren is to baking soufflé. See: Friday, June 13 news item regarding the 365 point cave in of the Dow Jones Industrial Average: “Oil prices were the primary culprit [for] the epic collapse.” (Forbes)
The problem is -- there’s no concrete evidence whatsoever to support such a claim. Never has been.
Filed Under: Crude oil, us stocks, dow jones industrial average
Category: Energy


Oil Prices: Everybody Panic!...?
Sure, they're sensational. But do they drive the financial market? Hardly.

by Euan Wilson
6/3/2008 5:00:00 PM
Everyone's complaining about it because everyone is a consumer: Oil prices seem to show up in everything we buy. From the gas pump to electricity to food to the cost of Saran Wrap, oil rules our wallets. Question is: Do oil prices also rule the financial markets? Here's one answer...
Filed Under: prechter's perspective, oil, Prices, mania, Manias, News, Media
Category: Energy


VIDEO: Oil Above $133. What Is Driving Up Prices?
You can forecast crude oil prices without relying on the supply/demand fundamentals.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/21/2008 5:45:00 PM

On Wednesday (May 21), crude oil futures closed above $133 for the first time in history. The spike was blamed on an "unexpected drop in U.S. stockpiles," among other factors. That's a perfectly good explanation – after the fact. But what if we told you that one analyst foresaw this week's rally in crude several days before it began – and without relying on the supply/demand fundamentals? Watch this free video clip.

Filed Under: crude oil 133, new all-time high, high oil prices hurting U.S. stocks, u.s. inventories, Why Oil Prices Change, brent oil
Category: Energy


Why Oil Prices Change -- Part II

by Nico Isaac
5/6/2008 6:00:00 PM

These days, there’s more round-the-clock press coverage of soaring oil prices than of the Democratic party's primary elections. And, much like those political contests, each day the mainstream “experts” offer a new twist on the outcome...

Filed Under: oil, democratic primary, obama, clinton, supply shortage, weak dollar, Crude oil, Energy
Category: Energy


VIDEO: Why Oil Prices Change -- Part I
What affects the price of oil more: market sentiment or news headlines?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/6/2008 3:00:00 PM

Question: A militant attack on the Nigerian oil station happened on Sunday, May 4. The report projecting strong demand for oil from China came out on Tuesday, May 6. However, EWI's Energy Specialty Service made a bullish forecast for oil last Friday, May 2. How in the world did ESS know about those events two days in advance? Answer: It didn't...

Filed Under: Nigeria attack, crude oil record, demand from china, Why Oil Prices Change, What Affects The Price of Oil
Category: Energy


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As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.