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Can The Fed Stave Off Another "Great Depression"?

by Nico Isaac
12/3/2008 4:00:00 PM

The Federal Reserve has fired more rounds on its bailout bazooka than Rambo in hopes of keeping the leading pillars of the U.S. economy afloat. This extension of virtually unlimited credit, says Bernanke, will stave off another Great Depression. Is He Right?

Filed Under: ben bernanke, great depression, bailouts, Federal Reserve, dow jones industrial average, Bear market
Category: Economy


Deflation, Fiat Money, and Market Destruction
Yes, the Fed Chairman DID Say This in Public

by Robert Folsom
12/2/2008 5:45:00 PM
The only thing more remarkable than this public comment is the fact that it drew virtually no attention -- but if nothing else, it does show what Bernanke has on his mind....
Filed Under:
Category: Economy


A Modern "Twist" to a Very Old Scheme
"He convinced the vast majority to roll their claims back into his enterprise"

by Robert Folsom
11/28/2008 12:45:00 PM

He realized he could game the system for a legal profit -- arbitrage it, if you will. He began telling people about his discovery. And, without revealing too many details, Bianchi also said that the more money he had the more he could make...

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Private Ownership, Collective Thanksgiving
The Overlooked Detail in a Well-Known Tale

by Robert Folsom
11/26/2008 3:45:00 PM

They considered this turn in their fortunes to be miraculous; with the benefit of hindsight, what they had discovered was the miraculous benefits of private ownership and free markets.

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


How Much Are You Down For in the Obligatory Spending Spree?
$7.4 Trillion in Giving Should Get the Holiday Spirit Going

by Robert Folsom
11/24/2008 5:30:00 PM
Oh, wait -- that's right, the person doing the giving is you. Sorry about that. I'm giving too. I feel your pain. On the long-shot chance you haven't heard about how deeply the government has gotten into the bailout business, $7.4 trillion is the answer to the question, "How deeply?"
Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Treasury Secretary Didn't Answer His Own Question: Why?
Read the Non-Answer Right Here!

by Robert Folsom
11/19/2008 6:00:00 PM

If you get nothing by way of a real answer from the government, it's reasonable to conclude that the government doesn't have a real answer...

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Economists Agree: "Relief" and "Stimulus" Are "Succeeding"
A good definition of wisdom: "The right use of knowledge."

by Robert Folsom
11/14/2008 5:30:00 PM
At what point is it fair to say, "Aren't you just doing more of the same stuff that obviously hasn't been working?" When is it fair to observe that, "To do the same thing over and over and expect a different result means you're insane?"
Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Prechter's November Theorist: The ONLY Bull Market Still Standing
There's Only One Word to Describe What Happened to Stock Investors This Year

by Robert Folsom
11/12/2008 5:30:00 PM

There ain't no fees in this bull market, either. You don't have to do nuthin'. Ain't no risk at all. None of them "transaction costs." What? Yea, I'm bein' serious... Real serious.

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Hanging by a Single Horsehair
Significant problems lie ahead for our new President and Congress.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/11/2008 3:30:00 PM

Fear and greed. The human predilection for cyclic, emotional progression and the basis of the Elliott Wave Principle. We are up to our necks in the fear side of the cycle, and for plenty of good reasons. The Sword of Damocles was only hanging by a single horsehair.  Just how much weight can that horsehair support?  

Filed Under: u.s. treasury, fear, bonds, GDP, Sword of Damocles, credit default swaps, Federal Reserve
Category: Economy


Yes, OF COURSE This Is the Way to Run A Bailout
You underestimate the government's control of the financial system at your own peril

by Robert Folsom
11/10/2008 5:00:00 PM

Like an absolute monarch, government alone elects to disclose what it does -- it can also refuse to disclose anything, with impunity. This kind of power the Robber Barons of the 19th century imagined only in their wildest dreams...

Filed Under: bailout
Category: Economy


Won't SOMEBODY Please "Take This Model and Shove It"?
A Thought From the Late Michael Crichton

by Robert Folsom
11/7/2008 5:15:00 PM

"Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you're being had."

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


If Elections Do NOT Drive Trends, What DOES?
The Answer Explains This Week's Decline

by Robert Folsom
11/6/2008 5:30:00 PM

Once you know the direction of the dominant trend, "countertrend" moves then become the major challenge. These are more near term. We've said the dominant trend is downward for virtually the entire year it's been unfolding -- and that's why, after the close on Friday (Oct. 31, 2008) The Short Term Update said last week's stock market rally would not last...

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Before Obama: How Bush Became "The Worst President Ever"

by Nico Isaac
11/5/2008 7:45:00 PM

In the wake of Democratic senator Barack Obama's historic rise to the ranks of United States President, it's difficult not to acknowledge his predecessor George W. Bush's precipitous fall from that very position...

Filed Under: Barack Obama, George W. Bush, Democratic, president, dow jones industrial average
Category: Economy


Is Obama Able to Make Stocks Literally Fall One Day and Rise the Next?
And He's Not Even In Office Yet

by Robert Folsom
11/5/2008 5:45:00 PM

Am I supposed to blame the stock market decline on Obama? I will if I have to, if someone will simply explain why it's his fault today when yesterday he got credit for the big "Election Day Rally."

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Higher Fed-ucation: Will Rate Cuts Rescue The U.S. Economy?

by Nico Isaac
11/4/2008 10:15:00 AM
One of the top-selling Halloween costumes this year was a latex mask of Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke's bearded likeness. Seems rather fitting, considering -- The economy-saving capabilities of the Federal Reserve are an illusory façade. For some, such a statement runs a close second to blasphemy. I say, let the facts, NOT blind faith, speak.
Filed Under: Federal Reserve, great depression, rate cut, monetary policy, Fed
Category: Economy


Prepare to Be Robbed – Part II
How the Day After the Vote Might Look

by Robert Folsom
11/3/2008 5:30:00 PM
Imagine that it's Wednesday, Nov. 5, the day after the U.S. presidential election. We're back in front of the nice home in the nice neighborhood. The same two men in dark suits knock on the same nice front door...
Filed Under:
Category: Economy


What If All Those Indicators Were That Extreme?
You might reasonably infer that it amounts to some kind of warning

by Robert Folsom
10/31/2008 2:30:00 PM
It's never as simple as doing some math that amounts an economy that will do "catastrophic damage" -- but...
Filed Under:
Category: Economy


Promotor Fidei and Stultus Maximus
They say we are facing an "unprecedented financial crisis." But is this really unprecedented?

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/30/2008 6:30:00 PM

We are facing an "unprecedented financial crisis," and the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury are undertaking similarly "unprecedented actions" to mitigate the contraction of credit and damage to the U.S. economy. But is this really unprecedented? On scale – yes, but not in scope. Have you forgotten the Panic of 1819?

Filed Under: Devil’s Advocate, Advocatus Diaboli, Greatest Fool, War of 1812, Panic of 1819, tips
Category: Economy


Don’t Read This Story Until After the Rally Ends
Once social mood determines the long-term trend, nothing and no one can change it – not even a new president.

by Gary Grimes
10/30/2008 11:15:00 AM

If you DO wait to read this story until the near-term rally has ended, then the facts below won't be "evidence" – they will be history.

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


The Update On YOUR Portfolio You Won't Find Elsewhere
Early Evidence On How "Assets" the Treasury Is Buying Have Done

by Robert Folsom
10/29/2008 5:45:00 PM

It's the portfolio that includes Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And AIG, too. Then there's the banks you hold: big banks, small banks, bank stocks and more. Your portfolio has also recently been waist-deep in the commercial paper market -- lending to the likes of IBM, Chrysler, GE, American Express and Harley Davidson...

Filed Under:
Category: Economy


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Categories
Most Recent Articles
- 12/3/2008 4:00:00 PM
Can The Fed Stave Off Another "Great Depression"?
- 12/3/2008 11:45:00 AM
EURUSD: Stuck In the Middle, But For How Long?
- 12/2/2008 6:00:00 PM
Fibonacci: From A Buzzword To Real-Life Application
- 12/2/2008 5:45:00 PM
Deflation, Fiat Money, and Market Destruction
- 12/2/2008 12:45:00 PM
Update: Today is Not Like 1929! No, It's Worse
 

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.