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by
Alan Hall
11/18/2009 2:15:00 PM
The eugenics movement began during a bull market in the late 1800s. At first, it gained respect among many in the upper and educated classes with the premise that the human race can improve itself by controlling who can procreate. But like a societal version of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde, a later succession of bear markets morphed eugenics into a rationale for genocide.
Filed Under:
Eugenics movement, socionomics, overpopulation, climate change, environmentalism, waves of social mood
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Neil Beers
11/17/2009 4:30:00 PM
In the following two clips from The Socionomics Institute's documentary History's Hidden Engine,you'll see clearly that extremes in popular cultural trends coincide with extremes in stock prices, since they peak and trough coincidentally in their reflection of the popular mood.
Filed Under:
social mood, social trends, socionomics, music, movies, Disney, popular culture
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Neil Beers
11/17/2009 1:00:00 PM
In the 1940s, renowned science fiction writer Isaac Asimov began writing a trilogy of novels called the Foundation Series. Asimov’s protagonist discovers and develops “psychohistory,” a mathematical science that statistically predicts the general course of future events for large groups of people.
As it turns out, Asimov’s idea was actually science, minus the fiction. In the 1930s, a decade prior to Asimov's initial Foundation stories, Ralph Nelson Elliott made a discovery that became key to the development of socionomics, a new science of social prediction.
Filed Under:
socionomics, socionomist, wars, social mood, Isaac Asimov, psychohistory
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Neil Beers
10/14/2009 9:30:00 AM
An article in the University of North Carolina's Daily Tar Heel, “Swine Flu Humor Infects Universities Nationwide,” reminds one of the epidemic disease study in the May and June Socionomist, especially what it said about today’s historic complacency toward epidemic disease.
Filed Under:
swine flu, disease, social mood, socionomics, socionomist
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Jeff Reckseit
9/16/2009 5:00:00 PM
It’s nothing new to compare today's Western Civilization to the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire. Writers have observed the parallels for years, and for good reason: currency depreciation, the deterioration of morality, the character of government, and more.
Filed Under:
currency depreciation, NFL, American Idol, Cash for Clunkers, trading, PBR
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Alan Hall
9/4/2009 2:15:00 PM
Imagine that you've gone to a local convenience store to withdrawn money from an ATM. You walk back out, get in your car and begin backing up... when a black Cadillac SUV pulls next to you. A man jumps out and stands in front of your car. He's pointing a gun. He's yelling. You're frightened. You want to escape. What would you do?
Filed Under:
Drug War, Law Enforcement, Police shooting, social mood, fear and anger
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Neil Beers
8/25/2009 10:30:00 AM
Mexico has taken an important step in fulfilling a forecast from the July 2009 Socionomist: President Felipe Calderón just approved a law that decriminalizes small-scale possession of several different drugs.
Filed Under:
cultural trends, Drug War, Marijuana, socionomics, socionomist
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/16/2009 1:45:00 PM
At EWI's Message Board, readers ask us dozens of questions, daily. We try and answer everyone, and the best Q&As we publish for all to see. Here is an interesting question about swine flu that just came in...
Filed Under:
swine fu, h1n1, epidemic, world health organization
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Euan Wilson
7/15/2009 6:30:00 PM
More than 10,000 people have died violently in less than two years. A single city has seen over 1,000 murders in only seven months. Today the conflict is more deadly than Iraq and Afghanistan. And it is right on our doorstep.
Filed Under:
Mexico, Drug War, Marijuana, Violence, Conflict
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/7/2009 4:45:00 PM
Have you noticed that the number of skeptics about global warming is on the rise? We at Elliott Wave International are no climate experts, so we won't take sides. Market timing is our expertise, and to us, the most interesting question is: Why is this change happening now? Here's a socionomic answer.
Filed Under:
global warming, climate change, Commodities, cap-and-trade, market timing, social mood
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/11/2009 2:30:00 PM
"WHO declares first 21st century flu pandemic," reads a June 11 headline. To us here at Elliott Wave International, what continues to be most interesting is the timing of the swine flu outbreak. As we've reported before, disease epidemics are hardly random. Historically, they occur at specific moments in human history: when social mood is at a low.
Filed Under:
swine flu, h1n1, epidemic, pandemic, social mood
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Alan Hall
5/11/2009 4:45:00 PM
As measured by the stock market, we recently completed a large wave in a powerfully-negative social-mood trend. It bottomed amid extremely pessimistic sentiment. Social stress reached higher levels than it has in decades. Soon after, H1N1 swine flu erupted and came right to the edge of being a pandemic. If this was the only such instance of disease breaking out after a social-mood decline, it might be coincidence, but there are numerous examples in the historical record.
Filed Under:
socionomist, swine flu, disease, epidemic, pandemic, social mood
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Robert Folsom
5/8/2009 5:15:00 PM
Huge changes are happening already. And they are drastic in ways the overused political slogans never expected. Yet if anything, the political talk you now hear about "change" and the "public mood" are in fact pages from our playbook...
Filed Under:
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/30/2009 6:00:00 PM
In light of the potential swine flu pandemic, it's worth mentioning that from an Elliott wave perspective, disease epidemics are hardly random. Take a look at these facts -- and don't miss the new study showing you the 600-year history of social mood as it relates to epidemic disease.
Filed Under:
swine flu, bird flu, prechter, epidemics, pandemics, spanish influenza, socionomics
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Robert Folsom
3/6/2009 4:45:00 PM
Several of us here at Elliott Wave International keep a regular eye on the sort of economic/investment books that seem popular on Amazon – call it a slightly unorthodox sentiment indicator...
Filed Under:
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Alan Hall
2/19/2009 4:15:00 PM
Bull market heroes become bear market scapegoats. Every hero and hero-wannabe should internalize this socionomic understanding and never forget it. For example, the large-degree shift in social mood that is driving the current bear market is also transforming Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan -- formerly known as the Maestro and "the savior of the world" -- into “The Master of Disaster”...
Filed Under:
Greenspan, magazine cover indicator, Bear market, legacy
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Gary Grimes
1/20/2009 10:15:00 AM
Talent, intellect, determination and fund-raising aside, you must dig beneath the crust of stump-speech rhetoric to uncover the larger force driving Barack Obama to victory.
Filed Under:
Barack Obama
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Robert Folsom
12/24/2008 11:30:00 AM
Christmas is no time for insults, but somehow it's the only season when someone can slap you with the one name that really hurts...
Filed Under:
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Alan Hall
12/22/2008 5:15:00 PM
The National Christmas Tree has a fascinating history, especially at Christmastime. Like the price of gold, the height of the Tree has actually been “regulated” at times. In December 2006 I wrote a tongue-in-cheek piece for EWI's Market Watch page, which explained the correlation between stock prices and the height and number of lights on the National Christmas Tree.
Category:
Cultural Trends
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by
Alan Hall
9/5/2008 4:15:00 PM
...a recent Atlanta Journal Constitution headline: “Therapists helping builders cope during housing slump.” The article explained how “Every builder seems to know a colleague swamped in debt, and a few know friends in the business who have taken their lives.” A year ago, few imagined that smiling builders talking on cell phones in big trucks would soon be seeking emotional support on therapists’ couches.
Filed Under:
bailout, bailouts, banking crisis, Fannie Mae, Fed, Federal Reserve, Forecast, Forecasts, Freddie Mac, great depression, housing crisis, housing market, housing prices, housing slump
Category:
Cultural Trends
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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