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Har Har Har
Who’s got the last laugh, now?

By Jeff Reckseit
Tue, 18 Aug 2009 16:45:00 ET
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“They all laughed at Christopher Columbus when he said the world was round
They all laughed when
Edison recorded sound.”
George Gershwin.
 
They all laughed in 1982 when Bob Prechter predicted a new all-time high for the stock market.  In 1989 he was awarded the "Guru of the Decade" title by Financial News Network (now CNBC).  Not one to rest on his laurels, Prechter devoted much of the next ten years formulating and developing the New Science of Socionomics.  Some have compared this breakthrough to the discoveries of Copernicus.  An exaggeration?  History will be the judge.
 
But why wait?  You be the judge.  Read The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior and the New Science of Socionomics -- then decide for yourself.  A glance at a few of the Chapter Titles might arouse your curiosity:
 
            Basic Tenets of the Wave Principle
            Forecasting Price Extremes on the Basis of Typical Wave Relationships
            Unconscious Herding Behavior as the Psychological Basis of the Wave Principle
            Popular Cultural Trends as Manifestations of Social Mood Trends
            Forecasting Success Supports the Validity of Socionomics
 
In this book, Prechter clarifies the ground breaking work of Ralph Elliott and uses it as the foundation of the new science of Socionomics -- the study of social mood and how it results in social actions.  Socionomics studies how waves of endogenously (produced or growing from within) regulated social mood in turn regulate changes in the economy, political preferences, financial markets, pop culture, etc.  Actions do not affect mood - mood impels action.  An increasingly positive social mood leads people to buy stocks and expand businesses, while an increasingly negative social mood leads people to sell stocks and contract businesses.
 
You can use the socionomic insight to understand why people act the way they do, and to discern the differences between the present and the past – back in “the day.”  An appreciation of the power of social mood will allow you to comprehend the forecasting ability of the Wave Principle and why it works in the financial and commodity markets.   Read more:

Tags: Forecasting Price, financial markets, commodity markets

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> Wars: Do they affect the stock market's Elliott wave patterns? 
> Market manipulation: Can wave patterns detect it?  
> Warren Bufett: Doesn't his latest major purchase boost market mood? 
> George Soros' Reflexivity Theory: Similar to Prechter's socionomics? 
> College tuition: Will it cost more or less in a deflation? 
> Currencies: How do I count Elliott waves between cash and futures? 
> Weekends and trading halts: How do they factor into Elliott wave count? 
> Crisis Part II: Who will people blame if stocks crash again? 
> Socionomics and 'The Wisdom of Crowds': Any connection? 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.